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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 30 March 19
KOEN INVITES BIDS FOR 450,000 TONS OF (SUB) BITUMINOUS COAL FOR H1 AND JUNE 2019
South Korea state-owned utility KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) issued a tender for total 450,000 MT of min. 4300, 3500 and 5600 NCV ...
Wednesday, 27 March 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Contrary to the December 2018 forecasts but in line with the expectations of the dry bulk market, the first quarter of the year closed negatively. ...
Saturday, 23 March 19
IT WAS A POSITIVE WEEK FOR THE HANDY SIZE MARKET - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The big ships endured heavy losses last week extinguishing any hopes from the recent minor rally. Negative sentiment gained pace throu ...
Friday, 22 March 19
CHINA MARKET: COAL OUT IN THE COLD - BUSINESS RECORDER
Though China maintains there is no ban, China-bound Australian coal shipments are looking for a new home. For the past few months, coal cargoes are ...
Thursday, 21 March 19
PRICE PLUNGE AS CHINESE LEAVE THERMAL COAL OUT IN THE COLD - AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL REVIEW
Thermal coal exporter New Hope Corporation says China’s shipment squeeze on Australia is putting downward pressure on prices in all markets i ...
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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