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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 08 April 19
SULPHUR 2020 - COUNTDOWN TO THE SWITCHOVER - LLOYD'S REGISTER
Sulphur 2020 (MARPOL Annex VI Reg. 14.1.3) is still dominating headlines and as we draw closer to the 1 January 2020 deadline it’s clear that ...
Monday, 08 April 19
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE PRICE PLUMMETS TO LOW NOT SEEN SINCE AUGUST 2017
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Sunday, 07 April 19
SHIP PASSAGE PLANS - NO ROOM FOR ERROR! - WATSON FARLEY & WILLIAMS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The English High Court’s judgment in Alize 1954 v Allianz Elementar Versicherungs AG (The CMA CGM Libra) is an impo ...
Sunday, 07 April 19
IMO 2020: READY OR NOT? - WOOD MACKENZIE
New Year’s Day 2020 is firmly marked in the calendar as the refining and shipping industries prepare for change.
The International Marit ...
Saturday, 06 April 19
AUSTRALIA COAL POSTS BIGGEST WEEKLY DROP IN A DECADE AMID WEAK DEMAND - REUTERS
Australian thermal coal prices this week registered their biggest weekly fall since the financial market turmoil of a decade ago as demand plunged ...
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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