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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 08 March 19
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 2.6 MILLION TONS OF AUSTRALIAN 5700 NAR COAL FOR FIVE YEARS
South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a tender for 520,000 MT of min. 5700 NAR coal of Australian origin to be burnt ...
Friday, 08 March 19
CHINA'S COAL DEMAND FORECAST TO DROP SLOWLY - YONHAP
China’s coal demand is expected to fall at a snail’s pace over the next 20 years due to the country’s preference for the cheap fo ...
Thursday, 07 March 19
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE PLUNGE TO LOWEST IN SEVEN MONTHS
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Wednesday, 06 March 19
KOSPO INVITES BIDS FOR 80,000 MT OF 3800 NCV COAL FOR 21 - 30 MARCH, 2019 LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 80,000 MT of min 3,800 kcal/kg NCV low calor ...
Wednesday, 06 March 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER CO INVITES BIDS FOR 980,000 MT OF 4600 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 4,600 kcal/kg NCV low calo ...
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Coal Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
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