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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 06 April 19
SUPRAMAX: IT WAS A POOR WEEK OVERALL FOR THE BALTIC SUPRAMAX INDEX, WHICH LOST GROUND - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market over the past week looked to have found a floor on Tuesday with the BCI 5TC at $3460 before firming into the rest ...
Thursday, 04 April 19
OVERSUPPLY STILL MAJOR CHALLENGE WARNS ICS
Speaking in Istanbul, Simon Bennett, Deputy Secretary General of the International Chamber of Shipping (ICS) warned that avoiding overcapacity and ...
Thursday, 04 April 19
GLENCORE, TOHOKU ELECTRIC SET COAL CONTRACT PRICE AT $94.75/T - SOURCE, REUTERS REPORTED
Global miner Glencore and Japan’s Tohoku Electric Power agreed on a price of $94.75 per tonne for supplies of thermal coal from Australia for ...
Monday, 01 April 19
FORCE MAJEURE SUCCESS NOT A SEA CHANGE - BALTIC EXCHANGE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
It is difficult to successfully argue that contractual performance has been prevented or delayed by force majeure. This i ...
Monday, 01 April 19
AUSTRALIAN COAL AT RISK FROM CHINA MOVE, WARNS GOVERNMENT REPORT - SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
A new government report warns China’s restrictions on coal imports is the number one risk for Australian coal this year and could lead to a s ...
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Coal Association
- The University of Queensland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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