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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 16 November 19
LIFE AFTER FOSSIL FUELS: THE DAYS OF OIL AND COAL TRANSPORTATION ARE NUMBERED - BALTIC EXCHANGE
With the world fiercely focused on a decarbonised future, fossil fuel movers and traders might rightly be reconsidering their future. But cast a wi ...
Saturday, 16 November 19
OIL MARKET REPORT: PAUSING TO REFLECT - IEA
Global oil demand in 3Q19 increased by 1.1 mb/d year-on-year (y-o-y), more than double the 435 kb/d seen in 2Q19. China’s demand increased by ...
Friday, 15 November 19
RISING ENERGY DEMAND IN SOUTHEAST ASIA TO BE MET AND SUPPORTED BY COAL - WORLD COAL
Last week the International Energy Agency (IEA) released its semi-annual Southeast Asia Energy Outlook report which outlines the latest insights in ...
Thursday, 14 November 19
EIA EXPECTS U.S. STEAM COAL EXPORTS TO FACE INCREASING COMPETITION FROM EASTERN EUROPEAN SOURCES
EIA expects total U.S. coal production in 2019 to total 698 million short tons (MMst), an 8% decrease from the 2018 level of 756 MMst. The decline ...
Wednesday, 13 November 19
INDONESIAN NOVEMBER COAL PRICE REFERENCE LOGS FIRST GAIN SINCE AUGUST
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised up the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal co ...
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- Planning Commission, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Coal Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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