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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 22 November 19
UNCERTAINTY IN THERMAL COAL MARKET PERSISTED IN 3Q19 - ADARO
Uncertainty in thermal coal market persisted in 3Q19, mainly due to the actions, or inactions, of China in setting policies for global coal market. ...
Friday, 22 November 19
CIL TO DEVELOP 55 NEW COAL MINES IN NEXT 5 YEARS: COAL MINISTER
State-owned CIL will develop 55 new coal mines and expand 193 existing ones in the next five years, Parliament was informed. The company is also un ...
Thursday, 21 November 19
4TH DEEP OFFSHORE WEST AFRICA CONGRESS 2020
4th Deep Offshore West Africa Congress 2020
17 Janaury 2020
Accra, Ghana
Press Release: Following the great succ ...
Thursday, 21 November 19
INDONESIA PLANS TO KEEP $70/T COAL PRICE CAP FOR PLN, DMO - REUTERS
Indonesia’s energy minister Arifin Tasrif said his ministry plans to maintain a price cap on coal being sold to state electricity utility, PT ...
Wednesday, 20 November 19
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS IN COMMERCIAL COAL MINING IN INDIA? - DIPESH DIPU
In August 2019, Government of India announced its approval for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) for coal mining, processing and sale. Not that FDI i ...
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- Planning Commission, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
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