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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 04 November 19
PANAMAX: WEAKER SENTIMENTS CONTINUED FROM LAST WEEK, WITH RATES FURTHER SOFTENING IN BOTH BASINS - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market meandered slightly upwards this week before giving back much of its gains mid-week. Opening the week at $24,945, t ...
Thursday, 31 October 19
U.S. COAL-FIRED POWER PLANTS SCHEDULED TO SHUT - REUTERS
U.S. power companies expect to retire or convert from coal to gas over 13,800 megawatts (MW) of coal-fired plants in 2019 after shutting over 13,30 ...
Thursday, 31 October 19
SE ASIA MAY BECOME NET FOSSIL FUEL IMPORTER IN COMING YEARS - IEA
Southeast Asia is set to become a key driver of world energy trends over the next 20 years as its energy demand grows at twice the global average, ...
Monday, 28 October 19
ULTRAMAX: ASIA RATES REMAINED UNDER PRESSURE WITH THE NORTH LACKING FRESH ENQUIRY - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The end of the week brought about a small increase in sentiment heading into a long weekend for some regions. After sustaining a drop ...
Thursday, 24 October 19
AUSTRALIA'S HOPES TO EXPAND COAL EXPORTS IN SOUTH-EAST ASIA 'DELUSIONAL', EXPERTS SAY - THE GUARDIAN
The number of new coal-fired power plants starting construction across south-east Asia has fallen markedly over the past two years as Australia has ...
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The University of Queensland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
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