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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 20 November 19
AUSTRALIA'S NEW HOPE POSTS 66% SURGE IN Q1 SALEABLE COAL OUTPUT - REUTERS
Australian coal producer New Hope Corp Ltd reported on Tuesday a 66% jump in saleable coal production in the first quarter, as output ramped up at ...
Wednesday, 20 November 19
THE IMO AND THE PRICE OF GAS OR THE IMPACT OF THE INTERNATIONAL MARITIME ORGANISATION'S SULPHUR 2020 LIMIT FOR MARINE FUEL OIL ON THE PRICE OF GAS - KING & SPALDING
The main bunker fuel for ships is High Sulphur Fuel Oil (HSFO, with sulphur up to 3.5% m/m (mass by mass)). This will all change on 1 January 2020 ...
Wednesday, 20 November 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
While the market expects the next OPEC meeting, there are still no clear signs indicating that the organization will keep supporting oil prices, wh ...
Monday, 18 November 19
CHINA RECORDS STABLE COAL PRODUCTION IN JAN-OCT: XINHUA
China’s raw coal output registered stable growth in the first 10 months, while its imports remained robust, official data showed.
...
Monday, 18 November 19
SUPRAMAX: IN THE INDONESIAN COAL BUSINESS, A 58KDWT VESSEL FIXED DELIVERY PHILIPPINES, REDELIVERY INDIA AT CLOSE TO $8,000 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
For most of the week the rates were nudging up under a flurry of activity in the Pacific as levels for the West Australia to China C5 ...
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The University of Queensland
- PTC India Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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