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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 30 November 19
PANAMAX: LEVELS IMPROVED IN THE PACIFIC MARKET TOO WITH $11,000 BEING CONCLUDED ON AN 81,000DWT SHIP FOR AN INDONESIA TO CHINA COAL TRIP - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market has been well supported over the past week, led primarily by the Atlantic Basin. After bottoming last week, sentiment was s ...
Friday, 29 November 19
FITCHRATINGS MAINTAINS NEGATIVE 2020 OUTLOOK ON SHIPPING, AS TIGHTER SUPPLY HELPS, BUT SOFTER DEMAND DRAGS
Fitch’s Sector Outlook: Negative
We maintain a negative sector outlook for global shipping because of the forecast slowdown of ...
Friday, 29 November 19
INDONESIA PRODUCES 390 MLN TONNES OF COAL IN JAN-SEPT: MINISTER - REUTERS
Indonesia’s production of coal for the January-September period was 390 million tonnes, Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Arifin Tasrif s ...
Wednesday, 27 November 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, one could say that the wet market has maintained the strong pace observed during the third qu ...
Tuesday, 26 November 19
PREPARATIONS INTENSIFY AS 1 JANUARY 2020 GLOBAL CUT IN SULPHUR IN SHIP'S FUEL OIL LOOMS: IMO
“IMO 2020” requirements for ships to cut sulphur oxide emissions enter into effect in just over one month’s time. This will signi ...
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- White Energy Company Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
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