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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the ...
Tuesday, 14 January 20
DRY BULK MARKET: "THIS IS NOT THE END OF COAL" SAYS IEA - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A historic drop in coal-fired electricity generation will not sway global coal demand from its upward trajectory through to 2024, though growth wil ...
Saturday, 11 January 20
ARE YOU 95% CONFIDENT THAT YOUR VERY LOW SULPHUR FUEL IS ON SPEC AND MARPOL COMPLIANT? - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Bunker fuel is a commodity and, like all commodities, is produced and sold according to specifications. Bunkers are usual ...
Saturday, 11 January 20
NEW PRICING COULD SPELL TROUBLE FOR CHINA'S COAL SECTOR - CHINA DIALOGUE
Benchmark coal tariffs have been the foundation of China’s electricity pricing since 2004 but this mechanism was replaced on January 1 with a ...
Saturday, 11 January 20
BALTIC BRIEFING TANKER REPORT - WEEK 2
VLCC
Escalating tensions between the USA and Iran, in addition to a continuing strong market, made for an interesting week, with rates firming ...
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
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- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- White Energy Company Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
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- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
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