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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 18 January 20
GERMAN STEAM COAL IMPORTS IN 2019 PLUMMETED BY 17 % - COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
Press Release: According to preliminary calculations by the German Coal Importers Association (Verein der Kohlenimporteure e. V.), world trade in h ...
Saturday, 18 January 20
A 61,400 DWT FIXED FROM SOUTH EAST ASIA DELIVERY EAST KALIMANTAN REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA IN THE LOW $7,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market was relatively stable over this past week putting an end to the past months of more extreme declines. While the Capesize 5T ...
Friday, 17 January 20
EIA ESTIMATES THAT U.S. COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED BY 65 MMST (9%) TO 690 MMST IN 2019. IN 2020, COAL PRODUCTION WILL DECLINE BY A FURTHER 14% TO 597 MMST
U.S. Coal Supply.
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production declined by 65 million short tons (MMst) (9%) to 690 MMst in 2019. In 2020, EIA ...
Friday, 17 January 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index, a gauge of coal p ...
Thursday, 16 January 20
SUPRAMAX: INDO/CHINA ROUND VOYAGE FIXING AROUND LOW/MID USD 6,000 BSS APS INDO - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Still very rough seas for the big ships, with the majority of the fleet trading Far East or fronthaul and consequently earning far les ...
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- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The University of Queensland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
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