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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 15 January 20
ASIA PACIFIC GAS AND LNG - 6 THEMES TO WATCH IN 2020 - WOOD MACKENZIE
NEWS RELEASE
Wood Mackenzie has identified six themes that will impact Asia Pacific’s gas and LNG markets in 2020
Asian LNG spot pr ...
Wednesday, 15 January 20
PREDICTIONS FOR 2020: 'SLOWBALISATION" IS THE NEW GLOBALISATION - PWC
Projecting what the future holds is an important exercise for businesses looking to plan ahead. Below we present a summary of some of the themes we ...
Wednesday, 15 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Happy New Year and all the best for IMO 2020 !!
The early days of IMO 2020 coming into force have certainly had an impact on the indus ...
Tuesday, 14 January 20
SOLAS AMENDMENTS ENTERING INTO FORCE 1 JANUARY 2020 - STANDARD CLUB
While the latest amendments to MARPOL annex VI which entered into force on 1 January 2020 limiting the SOx emissions from ships has been the centre ...
Tuesday, 14 January 20
MABUX: BUNKER MARKET THIS MORNING, JAN.14
MABUX World Bunker Index (consists of a range of prices for 380 HSFO, 180 HSFO and MGO (Gasoil) in the main world hubs) changed insignificant and i ...
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Australian Coal Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
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