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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 08 January 20
WHAT IS BIMCO THINKING ABOUT 2020? - BIMCO
Every year, BIMCO considers what is in store for the shipping industry and for BIMCO in the coming years, while also reflecting on the year gone by ...
Wednesday, 08 January 20
VINACOMIN SETS TO SELL 49 MILLION TONNES OF COAL IN 2020 - VIETNAM NET
The Vietnam National Coal-Mineral Industries Holding Corporation Limited (Vinacomin) has set to sell 49 million tonnes of coal in 2020, a year-on-y ...
Wednesday, 08 January 20
CHINA'S COAL-RICH PROVINCE CUTS 18.95 MLN TONNES OF CAPACITY IN 2019 - XINHUA
North China’s Shanxi Province reduced its coal production capacity by 18.95 million tonnes by closing 18 coal mines in 2019.
A ...
Wednesday, 08 January 20
JANUARY INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE SLIPS US$ 0.37 MOM
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Tuesday, 07 January 20
CLEANER AIR IN 2020: 0.5% SULPHUR CAP FOR SHIPS ENTERS INTO FORCE WORLDWIDE - EUROPEAN COMMISSION
From 1 January 2020, the maximum sulphur content of marine fuels is reduced to 0.5% (down from 3.5%) globally – reducing air pollution and pr ...
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- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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