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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 21 January 20
THERMAL COAL PRICES SET FOR RECOVERY THIS YEAR AS OVERSUPPLY TIGHTENS - REUTERS
Thermal coal prices are expected to recover this year after losing around a third of their value last year as demand from some south-east Asian cou ...
Monday, 20 January 20
INDIA TO STOP SUBSTITUTABLE COAL IMPORT; CAN GO FOR AUCTION OF 100 FULLY EXPLORED NEW BLOCKS: JOSHI - PTI
The Cabinet recently approved promulgation of Mineral Laws (Amendment) Ordinance 2020 to amend Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation ) Act ...
Monday, 20 January 20
CHINA DECEMBER COAL OUTPUT UP 2.4 PERCENT ON YEAR - STATS BUREAU: REUTERS
China produced 331.74 million tonnes of coal in December, up 2.4 percent on the year, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Friday.
...
Monday, 20 January 20
CHINA IMPORTED 124.4 MLN TONNES OF COAL FROM INDONESIA IN 2019, UP 15.1 PERCENT YOY - BANCHERO COSTA
China's coal imports raced ahead in 2019, surprising many who had expected that in the months of 2019 to come the government would clamp down s ...
Saturday, 18 January 20
BIMCO: LOW-SULPHUR FUEL SALE JUMPS TO A 70% SHARE IN SINGAPORE, AS THE IMO 2020 SULPHUR CAP KICKS IN
The final quarter of 2019 marked a massive decline of HSFO sales, as the industry transitioned into compliance of the IMO 2020 Sulphur Cap (IMO2020 ...
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- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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