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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 15 February 20
CHEN ZHIDA: NOVEL CORONAVIRUS - IMPLICATIONS FOR CHARTERPARTIES - SHIPOWNERS' CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Last month, the Club issued a bulletin on the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) which explained the origin of the virus a ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
AFRAMAX: A MORE POSITIVE ATTITUDE EXISTED IN THIS SECTOR WITH RATES IMPROVING ON ALL ROUTES - BALTIC BRIEFING
VLCC
The market in the Middle East was unmoved this week, with Chinese refiners continuing to slow imports, allied with the impact of the Coron ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
A 56,000DWT VESSEL WAS CONCLUDED BASIS DELIVERY SINGAPORE VIA INDONESIA REDELIVERY CHINA IN THE LOW $6,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Riding the downward momentum of the previous week, the market was always going to be hard pressed to make any sort of revival. With mu ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION WILL TOTAL 595 MMST IN 2020, DOWN 14% FROM 2019 - EIA
EIA forecasts that U.S. coal production will total 595 million short tons (MMst) in 2020, down 95 MMst (14%) from 2019.
Lower ...
Friday, 14 February 20
WHY THE WORLD ECONOMY WILL BE FACING CHINA'S CORONAVIRUS FOR A LONG TIME - CNBC
Everywhere we look we see the headlines and commentators talking about the coronavirus and its impact on tourism, trade and investment between Chin ...
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Planning Commission, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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