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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 12 February 20
COAL INDIA WILL EXCEED LAST YEAR'S PRODUCTION FIGURES: OFFICIAL - PTI
Despite coal production being hampered at Dipka mines due to prolonged rains, Coal India Ltd will exceed last year’s production figures, a to ...
Wednesday, 12 February 20
CHANGES IN LNG MARKET COULD UNDERCUT PLANS FOR NEW JAPANESE COAL PLANTS - CLYDE RUSSELL
Reuters: Clyde Russell
The collapse in the spot price of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Asia is a short-term phenomenon that may wel ...
Wednesday, 12 February 20
THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY SEES FREIGHT MARKETS IN A COMPLETE STATE OF COLLAPSE AS DEMAND GETS PARALYZED DUE TO CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK - ALLIED
With China and the world still trying to contain the effects and come to terms with the Wuhan novel coronavirus outbreak, the shipping industry see ...
Wednesday, 12 February 20
WORLD STEEL PRODUCTION IN 2019 - BANCHERO COSTA
In a worrying development, global steel production slowed down considerably in the fourth quarter of 2019. In the final 3 months of 2019, total cru ...
Sunday, 09 February 20
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN ARENA STRUGGLED, A 50,000DWT SHIP FIXING A COAL RUN FROM EAST KALIMANTAN TO INDIA AT $2,000 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market endured another dreadful week of calamitous rate level falls, as the usual season low Q1 period combined with rece ...
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- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Coal Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
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