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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 19 February 20
MINERS WELCOME INDONESIA'S NEW JOBS BILL THAT COULD SPUR COAL GROWTH - REUTERS
Miners have welcomed proposed changes to Indonesian mining rules under a new law aimed at boosting investment, though critics are concerned that th ...
Wednesday, 19 February 20
AS OCEAN TEMPERATURES RISE, SHIPOWNERS LOOK FOR WAYS TO COPE - WARTSILA
The world is heating up, and its oceans are no exception. According to the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the oceans absorb the majo ...
Wednesday, 19 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The coronavirus outbreak is estimated to negatively affect global economy by at least EUR400bn this year, representing around the 0.4% of global GD ...
Tuesday, 18 February 20
WEEKLY MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
Under such poorly performing market circumstances, many usually take the historical approach, in order to better understand and further analyze the ...
Tuesday, 18 February 20
ADARO SHIPPED 27 PERCENT OF ITS TOTAL COAL PRODUCTION IN 2019 TO INDIA AND CHINA
PT Adaro Energy Tbk (AE) produced 58.03 Mt of coal from PT Adaro Indonesia (AI), Balangan Coal Companies and Adaro Me ...
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
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