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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 18 February 20
ADARO REMAINS POSITIVE ON THE LONG-TERM FUNDAMENTALS OF COAL MARKET SUPPORTED BY THE SOUTHEAST ASIA AND SOUTH ASIA REGION
The global seaborne thermal coal market in 2019 was faced with macro and industry challenges which pushed international coa ...
Tuesday, 18 February 20
CORONAVIRUS AND ITS IMPACT ON YOUR CONTRACT - CAN YOU RELY ON 'FORCE MAJEURE'? - INCE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
On 30 January 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared that the outbreak of the Novel Coronavirus (officially t ...
Monday, 17 February 20
IMO-2020 SULPHUR CAP - ISSUES TO CONSIDER PRIOR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CARRIAGE BAN ON 1 MARCH 2020 - STANDARD CLUB
With the IMO 2020 global sulphur cap now in force, members should bear in mind another significant date in relation to the ‘carriage ban&rsqu ...
Monday, 17 February 20
COVID-19: THE EFFECT OF THIS PUBLIC HEALTH EMERGENCY ON CHARTERPARTY TERMS - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Is it useful to compare the COVID-19 with earlier disease outbreaks?
A comparison with the Ebola outbreak ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - REUTERS
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
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- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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