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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 04 March 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As it was expected, the whole world has been focusing on the spread of the Coronavirus, with the fast outbreak being primarily a massive humanitari ...
Wednesday, 04 March 20
CORONAVIRUS: A WILDCARD FOR BULKS DEMAND - WOOD MACKENZIE
The coronavirus is casting a shadow across commodity markets. It has undermined China’s economic sentiment, putting the country’s growt ...
Wednesday, 04 March 20
THERMAL COAL TO 'PHASE OUT', STRONG DEMAND FOR COKING COAL: PLATO - SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
Plato Investments managing director Don Hamson says Australian iron ore producers are set to benefit in the fallout from coronavirus as China will ...
Wednesday, 04 March 20
CHINA PROVINCE TO CLOSE 10 MLN TONNES OF COAL CAPACITY IN 2020 - XINHUA
Southwest China’s Guizhou Province plans to phase out 10 million tonnes of outdated coal production capacity by closing 80 coal mines in 2020 ...
Wednesday, 04 March 20
UKRAINE PRODUCED OVER 2.55 MLN TONNES OF COAL IN FEBRUARY - UKRINFORM
In February 2020, Ukraine produced over 2.55 million tonnes of coal, which is 0.2% less than planned.
The Coal Miners Union of Ukrai ...
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
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