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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 06 March 20
COLOMBIAN COAL OUTPUT FELL 2% IN 2019 - REUTERS
Coal production in Colombia, the fifth-largest coal exporter in the world, fell 2% to 82.2 million tonnes in 2019 after output at one of the princi ...
Friday, 06 March 20
SOLID BACKING FOR LNG AS A MARINE FUEL - BALTIC EXCHANGE
When it comes to choosing the best fuel on the near horizon to help the international shipping industry shrink its carbon intensity by 2050, DNV GL ...
Friday, 06 March 20
INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE UP AGAIN THIS MONTH
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised up the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal co ...
Thursday, 05 March 20
PANAMAX: SHIP-OWNERS HAVE MOSTLY BEEN GETTING HIGHER RATES THAN THE LAST DONE - FEARNLEYS
Cape
There is still limited amount of positive news around, with the effects of Corona virus hurting world economy. However, overall average in ...
Thursday, 05 March 20
COAL IMPORTS DOWN IN MAJOR ASIAN MARKETS, AND CORONAVIRUS NOT THE DRIVING FORCE - CLYDE RUSSELL
Asia’s seaborne coal markets stumbled in February and it appears the coronavirus outbreak in China may dodge most of the blame, with the weak ...
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The University of Queensland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Planning Commission, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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