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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 03 March 20
IMPORTANCE OF MASTER'S CARGO CHECKS - BALTIC EXCHANGE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Adecision in recent High Court case has made it clear that there is no implied indemnity from a charterer to their counte ...
Tuesday, 03 March 20
COAL'S SHARE OF CHINA ENERGY MIX FALLS IN 2019 BUT CONSUMPTION STILL RISING - REUTERS
Coal accounted for 57.7% of China’s primary energy consumption in 2019, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Friday, down 1.5 percentage ...
Monday, 02 March 20
SHIPOWNERS AND OPERATORS COULD FACE DETENTION OF SHIPS FROM 1ST MARCH UNDER IMO RULE - ICS
Port state control authorities will begin to enforce the IMO’s Sulphur 2020 from 1st March, making it an offense for ships to carry fuel that ...
Saturday, 29 February 20
SUPRAMAX SENTIMENT WAS UP IN A FEW KEY AREAS OVER THE LAST WEEK - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market woes related to Coronavirus have now spread through the wider global markets like wildfire. The wider supply and d ...
Thursday, 27 February 20
FOREIGN COMPANIES LIKELY TO SKIP COMMERCIAL COAL BLOCK AUCTIONS - ECONOMIC TIMES
The Centre is in the process of inviting global players for commercial mining, following 100% foreign direct investment in the sector. However, giv ...
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- MS Steel International - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
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