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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 05 March 20
SEABORNE COAL'S STRUGGLES IN ASIA ARE MORE THAN JUST CHINA CORONAVIRUS - REUTERS
Asia’s seaborne coal markets stumbled in February and it appears the coronavirus outbreak in China may dodge most of the blame, with the weak ...
Thursday, 05 March 20
INDONESIA'S BUKIT ASAM 2019 OUTPUT RISES 10.2% Y/Y - REUTERS
PT Bukit Asam, Indonesia’s state-owned coal miner, said on Wednesday its output in 2019 rose 10.2% to 29.1 million tonnes.
Coa ...
Thursday, 05 March 20
SEEING REMOTELY - IN SAFETY: BUREAU VERITAS PERFORMS FIRST SURVEY BY DRONE - BUREAU VERITAS
Bureau Veritas Marine & Offshore (BV), a world leader in testing, inspection and certification (TIC) services has completed its first survey by ...
Wednesday, 04 March 20
AN EPIDEMIC OF UNCERTAINTY - THE CORONAVIRUS AND FORCE MAJEURE - WFW
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Do the effects of the coronavirus give rise to legitimate force majeure claims in connection with shipbuilding contracts ...
Wednesday, 04 March 20
CHINA IMPORTED 76.8 MLN TONNES OF CRUDE OIL FOR JANUARY & FEBRUARY 2020; UP 3.4% YOY - REFINITIV | BC
The COVID-19 crisis has been gripping China already for almost two months now. It’s having a huge negative impact on the economy, and this is ...
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
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