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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 11 March 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.07 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 133.16 points Monday, up 0.07 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
Wednesday, 11 March 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
On the 4th of September the Baltic Dry Index marked its highest level for 2019, reaching 2,518 points, while the rest of the dry indices also recor ...
Tuesday, 10 March 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS
It might be already overstated, but it seems to be important to point out once again how peculiar the current circumstances are.
Before the st ...
Tuesday, 10 March 20
EIA FORECASTS U.S ELECTRIC POWER SECTOR DEMAND FOR COAL WILL FALL BY 81 MMST (15%) IN 2020
EIA forecasts that U.S. coal production will total 595 million short tons (MMst) in 2020, down 95 MMst (14%) from 2019. According to EIA's Shor ...
Tuesday, 10 March 20
CORONAVIRUS: DEMAND DOWNGRADES FOR BULK COMMODITIES - WOOD MACKENZIE
The coronavirus outbreak is a rapidly evolving news story – and a real wildcard for bulks demand. Our global experts are monitoring the impac ...
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- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PTC India Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
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