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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 07 August 20
PEABODY'S $1.42 BILLION WRITE-DOWN CONCEDES COAL MINES HAVE LITTLE VALUE AND DIM FUTURE - IEEFA
Trouble at biggest mine in Powder River Basin speaks volumes about state of industry
Peabody Energy, the world’s largest priva ...
Thursday, 06 August 20
SUPRAMAX MARKET CONTINUED SIDEWAYS TREND, AND LITTLE INSPIRING NEWS APPEAR - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
There is presently a small correction in rates, but overall levels are up from previous week mainly due to increased demand in the Eas ...
Thursday, 06 August 20
KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER INVITING BIDS FOR MIN 3,600-MAX 3,800 NCV COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea’s KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) inviting bids for 80,000 Tons (MT) Min 3,600~Max 3,800 kcal/kg NCV coal f ...
Wednesday, 05 August 20
NO NEW MINING LICENSES - A REMINDER TO GOVERNORS IN INDONESIA - SSEK
Indonesia’s acting Director General of Mining and Coal (“DGMC”) has issued a letter to the country’s provincial Governors t ...
Wednesday, 05 August 20
AUGUST 2020 HBA HITTING ITS LOWEST LEVELS IN HISTORY
COALspot.com: The Indonesia Coal Price Reference for the month of August plunged 30.73% YoY, hitting its lowest levels in history and highlighting ...
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
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