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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 18 August 20
BLACKBALLED: WILL COAL BOUNCE BACK FROM SLUMP OR IS IT TERMINAL? - SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
Even by the standards of this miserable year, 2020 has been a shocker for the global coal industry.
As the lockdown kicked in demand ...
Friday, 14 August 20
EIA: COAL PLANTS UNECONOMICAL IN MOST REGIONS - IEEFA
U.S. coal power generation plunged by 30 percent in the first half of 2020 off an already-depressed base, shoved out by natural gas and renewables ...
Thursday, 13 August 20
INDIA SHOULD RECORD A SLIGHT DECREASE IN THERMAL COAL IMPORTS, REACHING A VOLUME OF 167 MILLION TONS BY THE END OF 2020 - ASSOCARBONI
Regarding 2020 thermal coal imports forecasts, Vietnam’s coal imports showed a very strong growth in the first half of 2020 and it is believe ...
Thursday, 13 August 20
INDONESIA REMAINS THE LARGEST EXPORTER OF COAL IN THE WORLD - ASSOCARBONI
According to the last Assocarboni data for 2019, Indonesia remains the largest exporter in the world. Thermal coal exports have in fact reached 456 ...
Wednesday, 12 August 20
VIETNAM WAS THE PROTAGONIST OF A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN COAL IMPORTS IN 2019 - ASSOCARBONI
The latest Assocarboni data for 2019 also provide a detailed picture on the trend of the global coal import.
According to Assocarbon ...
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- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
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