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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 01 August 20
SHIP SHAPE - OUCH: FIS
Thursday afternoon saw a report that US GDP in Q2 shrank by 32.9%. Now this may have beaten expectations, but it’s a bit like saying that you ...
Saturday, 01 August 20
ASIA HOPE FOR LONG-TERM OIL DEMAND - BALTIC BRIEFING
Oil demand in Asia Pacific might be expected to plunge 1.8m barrels per day (bpd) this year, but there are still strong prospects for growth over t ...
Friday, 31 July 20
SHORT-TERM IMPACT ON THE CHEMICAL SHIPPING MARKET IF THE INDIA-CHINA DISPUTE ESCALATES - DREWRY
Due to the India-China dispute, the threat of deteriorating trade relations between the two countries has become real. Meanwhile, we expect freight ...
Friday, 31 July 20
PANAMAX: THE PERIOD MARKET REMAINS QUIET WITH FEW FIXTURES REPORTED - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
After weeks of dropping rates, there are finally some resistance for the Capes. Pacific rounds improving to upper15,000s by the middle ...
Friday, 31 July 20
PANDEMIC SENDING SOUTH AFRICAN COAL INDUSTRY TO EARLIER GRAVE - IEEFA
Could South Africa’s coal export industry, one of the largest in the world, be about to take a severe hit from the coronavirus?
...
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- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
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