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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 05 August 20
SLUMP IN OIL REVENUE CHALLENGES MIDDLE EAST OIL EXPORTERS - INTERMODAL
The Covid-19 pandemic has had far-reaching consequences on the global capital markets. Despite the US government’s efforts for a quick and de ...
Tuesday, 04 August 20
KOEN INVITED BIDS FOR TOTAL 900K MT OF MIN 5600 NCV COAL FOR 3 YEARS
COALspot.com: South Korea’s KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) has issued an international tender for 260,000 to 300,000 Tons (MT) min. ...
Tuesday, 04 August 20
THE WORLD’S FLEET OF COAL-FIRED POWER STATIONS HAS GOT SMALLER FOR THE FIRST TIME ON RECORD, WITH MORE CAPACITY RETIRED IN THE FIRST HALF OF 2020 THAN THE AMOUNT OPENED - IEA
This is according to the latest Global Coal Plant Tracker (GCPT) results by Global Energy Monitor (GEM), which we completed last month and report f ...
Monday, 03 August 20
U.S. COAL CONSUMPTION, WHICH HAS DECLINED SINCE ITS 2007 PEAK, FELL TO ITS LOWEST POINT IN APRIL 2020 - EIA
According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) most recent Monthly Energy Review, the United States consumed 6.5 quadrillion ...
Monday, 03 August 20
LOW OIL PRICE AND CORONA VIRUS HIT SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA OIL PRODUCERS - FITCH RATINGS
The collapse in oil prices and the coronavirus shock is worsening the fiscal and external balances of sub-Saharan African oil producers, Fitch Rati ...
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- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- MS Steel International - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
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