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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 13 February 24
WHAT IS THE OUTLOOK FOR THE NATURAL GAS SPOT PRICE IN 2024 AND 2025? EIA
We expect the U.S. benchmark Henry Hub natural gas spot price to average higher in 2024 and 2025 than in 2023, but to remain lower than $3.00 per m ...
Monday, 12 February 24
US THERMAL COAL EXPORTS HIT 5-YEAR HIGHS AND TOP $5 BLN IN 2023 - REUTERS
United States exporters of thermal coal earned more than $5 billion in 2023 as they shipped out more than 32.5 million metric tons of the high-poll ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
NEW E-FUELS PROJECT TO MAKE INTERNATIONAL SHIPPING CLIMATE-NEUTRAL - RINA
Transport and trade on the ocean blue must be made much greener. This is the goal of the new €17 million European GAMMA project, where compani ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
INDIA SEES ANNUAL COAL OUTPUT UP 10.9% IN 2024/25 - REUTERS
India expects domestic coal output to increase by 10.9% to 1.13 billion metric tons in the fiscal year ending March 2025, a senior government offic ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION INCREASES BY 10.3% TO 99.73 MILLION TONNE IN JANUARY - PTI
The country’s coal output rose 10.3 per cent to 99.73 Million Tonne (MT) in January, over the same month in the previous fiscal.
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- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Coal Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
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