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Tuesday, 11 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
 A lot of discussions have been made as to the effects of the IMO 2020 regulation on OPEX levels, investment feasibility of scrubbers and the benefits of alternative fuel usage. Aside from all of these, there is another reading to this new regulation. New oil products (ultra-low sulphur fuel oil) as well as the much larger quantities of MGO that will be needed from the shipping industry will reshape trade patterns around the globe. The first effect could well be depicted in crude oil trade due to shifts in refinery utilization, said Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping in Allied latest weekly research report.
Specifically, demand for light sweet crude oil will move upward as it will be required from the non-upgraded refineries, while it is possible to see a negative trend in the demand for heavy sour grades. The second part is the need for redistribution of the low-sulphur fuels, in order to properly cover the global bunkering markets.
Yiannis Vamvakas further noted that, a side-effect to this could well be the requirement for floating storage for both clean (building of inventories), as well as dirty products (storage of the excess heavy fuel oil produced). Demand for HSFO is projected to recover in the long-term, as scrubber-equipped ships will continue using it. However, given that the IMO expects around 3,800 vessels to be fitted with scrubbers by 2020, it looks as though these vessels will remain a relatively small percentage of the global fleet. Many refineries have proceeded with their investment plans, adding capacity in order to produce more middle distillates, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasting that an additional 7 million barrels per day will come into production by 2023.
However, Yiannis Vamvakas says, there are also several refineries that have not yet fully prepared for the IMO 2020 regulation, possible creating a shortfall of the required fuels in certain regions. All in all, the most modernized refineries with extensive vacuum resid processing capacity will benefit most from the new regulation, as they will be able to produce larger quantities of required fuels, gaining market share in the marine sector. Based on these facts, demand will increase in regions were the more modern refineries reside, modifying current trade routes. According to a Reuters survey, around 66% of 33 questioned refineries will continue produce HSFO in 2020, but 70% of these stated that they will reduce their output. A decline has already been reported in fuel oil inventories, depicting the fact that refineries have started to cut output in anticipation of the regulation. However, it’s worth mentioning that if output cuts prove to be bigger than the consumption fall, prices will see a significant upsurge. With regards to different geographical locations, most of the US refineries have been upgraded by the US shale boom, giving them a head start, but they are still dependent on heavy fuel imports, which is used for blending purposes. This means that further investments will be required for adding de-sulphurisation capacity.
In Europe, the report says, the coastal refineries are better prepared compared to their mainland peers, as their main oil source is crude from North and West Africa, regions with less sour oil. In Middle East and China, most of the refineries do not have the capacity of de-sulphurisation needed to produce the new low-sulphur fuels, making new investments necessary. In almost all cases a significant change is to take place in the shipping industry.
This change can be seen as a threat, an opportunity or as a combination of these two. The modification of crude oil/oil products trade flows should benefit owners and refineries that are flexible and adaptable enough for the new regulations, while it may be a significant threat for market participants that will choose to fall behind their competition Yiannis Vamvakas concluded in his latest report.
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Friday, 04 January 19
FOCUS IS ON BOOSTING COAL PRODUCTION: INDIAN COAL MINISTER
The current focus of the government is on boosting production from operational coal mines, according to Minister for Coal, Piyush Goyal.
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Thursday, 03 January 19
CAPESIZE: A MORE POSITIVE START OF THE NEW YEAR THAN EXPECTED FOR THE BIG SHIPS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
A more positive start of the new year than expected for the big ships, with average gains of US$ 500/day posted on the first tra ...
Tuesday, 01 January 19
INDONESIA: COAL PRODUCTION EXPECTED TO EXCEED THIS YEAR'S TARGET - JP
Indonesian coal production reached 456 million tons up to Thursday or 94.02 percent of this year’s total target of 485 million tons, accordin ...
Monday, 31 December 18
THE INDONESIAN COAL MARKET Q1 '19 FORECAST: LOOKS DIRECTIONLESS - TRADER
The Indonesian coal market looks directionless, an International coal trader said when we asked him to give his forecast for 1Q' 2019.
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Monday, 31 December 18
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND GREW BY 1% IN 2017; GLOBAL COAL POWER GENERATION INCREASED BY OVER 250 TWH - IEA
After two years of decline, global coal demand grew by 1% in 2017 to 7585 Mt as stronger global economic growth increased both industrial output an ...
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
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