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Tuesday, 18 September 18
COOLING OUTLOOK FOR COAL - KATE JONES
.jpg) At a time of increasing focus on the renewables market as the world seeks to clean up its act to prevent climate change, what is the outlook like for coal? If an August report from Statistics Market Research Consulting (Stratistics MRC) is anything to go by, the answer to that question appears to be, ‘not as bad as one might fear’.
The report, Coal Industry – Global Market Outlook (2017-2026), forecasts the global coal market to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 12.5% from 2017 to 2026 — and hit $34.65m by the latter year. An enlarging manufacturing base, rising economic growth and increasing electricity demand are some of the key factors propelling the growth, according to the study, though the report did claim that price instability is restricting market enlargement. Furthermore, the world coal market accounted for $11.93m last year. Based on geography, growth in the market during 2017-2026 is anticipated for the Asia-Pacific region —several nations in the area, such as China and Japan, lack energy resources and are therefore importing to meet requirements.
The world of the product
However, this positive picture stands somewhat alone. At the end of August, it was reported that a push to lessen the development of coal mines, as well as growing investor pressure to divest from fossil fuels, is generating a mining industry division between businesses leaving the sector and companies vowing to stay in it. Banks that have reportedly brought lending for new coal mines to a halt include Deutsche Bank and the Royal Bank of Scotland, while new project spending has dropped 80%, from $10bn in 2012 to $2.2bn this year. This trend, along with a government-led campaign in China to cut supply of domestic coal to reduce pollution, has made the coal price almost double over the last three years — to trade at $113 a tonne.
But some companies are staying in the industry or enlarging their presence. For the world’s biggest miner, BHP, there is confidence in coal’s staying power.
“The world, rightly or wrongly, is going to be using a lot of thermal coal,” claimed Peter Beaven, BHP’s chief financial officer, referring to the kind of coal used in power stations. The company has no plans to sell its coal assets — and neither does the biggest producer of seaborne coal for export globally, Glencore. In fact, Glencore is in expansion mode. This year, it purchased a 49% share in a Yancoal-operated thermal coal project in New South Wales in Australia and bought Rio Tinto’s Hail Creek coal mine in Queensland, also in Australia, for $1.7bn. The company reportedly made $2bn from its coal division in H1 2018, with the business estimating that at current prices, coal will be its largest earnings driver for the full year. Macquarie Group analysts describes the organisation as “slowly stepping into the breach, quietly consolidating its position in an unpopular sub-sector of the mining industry”.
However, not all coal miners have had such good fortune. In March, Rio Tinto sold its last coal mine to EMR Capital and Adaro Energy for $2.25bn, while South32 plans on selling its South African thermal coal assets to local investors later in 2018. South32 chief executive Graham Kerr has reportedly argued that thermal coal is increasingly becoming a focus of meetings with investors.
“Every six months, they tell you they can’t invest in you,” he noted.
What’s more, coal could soon find itself eclipsed by renewables. Fitch Solutions said at the end of August that renewable energy will play an increasingly important role in powering mining operations across the globe over the coming years, while Alexa Capital co-founder Gerard Reid has said that because wind and solar power have already become less expensive than coal-fired power in many parts of the world, a renewables move could happen faster than many believe.
The mixed messages mirror the division among investors and analysts over coal: while both the Church of England Pensions Board and BMO Global Asset Management have both turned away from supporting coal, Norway’s $1tr sovereign wealth fund (which owns Glencore shares), has said it would only exclude companies “which themselves, or through entities they control, derive 30% or more of their income from thermal coal”.
Area focus
Yet, Stratistics MRC’s prediction of Asia-Pacific coal market growth resonates with other indicators for the field. BP predicted that coal would likely stay the dominant energy source in Asia as late as 2040, while the Australian Bureau of Statistics said that Australia’s coal mining industry increased capital expenditure by 20% in 2017-18 to $3.5bn. However, analysts are split on how fast the planet’s largest coal consumer, China, will move away from the commodity. According to official figures, its coal consumption went up just 0.4% last year.
However, BHP, despite feeling that coal is set to “progressively lose competitiveness to renewables on a newbuild basis in the developed world and in China”, predicts that the crossover point will not be reached until the end of the next decade and says that coal power “is expected to retain competitiveness in India and other populous emerging markets for a much-longer time”.
As for the US, it was reported at the end of last month that US President Donald Trump was pushing forward with his endeavours to revive the US coal mining sector and that the Environmental Protection Agency claimed it was planning to repeal previous president Barack Obama’s Clean Power Plan, relaxing coal-fired power plant regulation. US coal miners like Peabody will no doubt be pleased by this shift in emphasis — its shares are up by 7% in the year to date, having reportedly been boosted by President Trump’s coal-supporting efforts.
Source: The Baltic Briefing
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Thursday, 13 September 18
SHIPPING IS INCREASINGLY CAUGHT IN THE TRADE WAR LINE OF CROSSFIRE - PETER SAND
Once again, the already long list of tariffed goods has been made even longer. Many more commodities were hit on 23 August, but September is likely ...
Wednesday, 12 September 18
THE INTERRELATIONSHIP BETWEEN LETTERS OF INDEMNITY AND CHARTERPARTY "TIME BAR" PROVISIONS - STANDARD CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Introduction
A recent English Court of Appeal decision provides important guidance on the applicability of charterpar ...
Wednesday, 12 September 18
IS LNG POISED FOR A NEW GROWTH CYCLE? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Gas needs to work for its long-term sustainability. But the mood music is upbeat. Just 18 months ago the LNG market was depressed, anticipating an ...
Wednesday, 12 September 18
U.S. TOTAL COAL EXPORTS TO BE 107 MMST IN 2018 AND 101 MMST IN 2019 - EIA
EIA forecasts U.S. coal production will decline by 1% to 768 million short tons (MMst) in 2018, despite a 10% (10 MMst) increase in coal exports.
...
Wednesday, 12 September 18
MARINE BUNKERS: THE END OF THE WORLD AS WE KNOW IT - IBIA
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The world of bunkers is heading for rapid and fundamental changes and not just because of the 0.50% sulphur cap in 2020. ...
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Showing 1621 to 1625 news of total 6871 |
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Australian Coal Association
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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