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Tuesday, 18 September 18
COOLING OUTLOOK FOR COAL - KATE JONES
.jpg) At a time of increasing focus on the renewables market as the world seeks to clean up its act to prevent climate change, what is the outlook like for coal? If an August report from Statistics Market Research Consulting (Stratistics MRC) is anything to go by, the answer to that question appears to be, ‘not as bad as one might fear’.
The report, Coal Industry – Global Market Outlook (2017-2026), forecasts the global coal market to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 12.5% from 2017 to 2026 — and hit $34.65m by the latter year. An enlarging manufacturing base, rising economic growth and increasing electricity demand are some of the key factors propelling the growth, according to the study, though the report did claim that price instability is restricting market enlargement. Furthermore, the world coal market accounted for $11.93m last year. Based on geography, growth in the market during 2017-2026 is anticipated for the Asia-Pacific region —several nations in the area, such as China and Japan, lack energy resources and are therefore importing to meet requirements.
The world of the product
However, this positive picture stands somewhat alone. At the end of August, it was reported that a push to lessen the development of coal mines, as well as growing investor pressure to divest from fossil fuels, is generating a mining industry division between businesses leaving the sector and companies vowing to stay in it. Banks that have reportedly brought lending for new coal mines to a halt include Deutsche Bank and the Royal Bank of Scotland, while new project spending has dropped 80%, from $10bn in 2012 to $2.2bn this year. This trend, along with a government-led campaign in China to cut supply of domestic coal to reduce pollution, has made the coal price almost double over the last three years — to trade at $113 a tonne.
But some companies are staying in the industry or enlarging their presence. For the world’s biggest miner, BHP, there is confidence in coal’s staying power.
“The world, rightly or wrongly, is going to be using a lot of thermal coal,” claimed Peter Beaven, BHP’s chief financial officer, referring to the kind of coal used in power stations. The company has no plans to sell its coal assets — and neither does the biggest producer of seaborne coal for export globally, Glencore. In fact, Glencore is in expansion mode. This year, it purchased a 49% share in a Yancoal-operated thermal coal project in New South Wales in Australia and bought Rio Tinto’s Hail Creek coal mine in Queensland, also in Australia, for $1.7bn. The company reportedly made $2bn from its coal division in H1 2018, with the business estimating that at current prices, coal will be its largest earnings driver for the full year. Macquarie Group analysts describes the organisation as “slowly stepping into the breach, quietly consolidating its position in an unpopular sub-sector of the mining industry”.
However, not all coal miners have had such good fortune. In March, Rio Tinto sold its last coal mine to EMR Capital and Adaro Energy for $2.25bn, while South32 plans on selling its South African thermal coal assets to local investors later in 2018. South32 chief executive Graham Kerr has reportedly argued that thermal coal is increasingly becoming a focus of meetings with investors.
“Every six months, they tell you they can’t invest in you,” he noted.
What’s more, coal could soon find itself eclipsed by renewables. Fitch Solutions said at the end of August that renewable energy will play an increasingly important role in powering mining operations across the globe over the coming years, while Alexa Capital co-founder Gerard Reid has said that because wind and solar power have already become less expensive than coal-fired power in many parts of the world, a renewables move could happen faster than many believe.
The mixed messages mirror the division among investors and analysts over coal: while both the Church of England Pensions Board and BMO Global Asset Management have both turned away from supporting coal, Norway’s $1tr sovereign wealth fund (which owns Glencore shares), has said it would only exclude companies “which themselves, or through entities they control, derive 30% or more of their income from thermal coal”.
Area focus
Yet, Stratistics MRC’s prediction of Asia-Pacific coal market growth resonates with other indicators for the field. BP predicted that coal would likely stay the dominant energy source in Asia as late as 2040, while the Australian Bureau of Statistics said that Australia’s coal mining industry increased capital expenditure by 20% in 2017-18 to $3.5bn. However, analysts are split on how fast the planet’s largest coal consumer, China, will move away from the commodity. According to official figures, its coal consumption went up just 0.4% last year.
However, BHP, despite feeling that coal is set to “progressively lose competitiveness to renewables on a newbuild basis in the developed world and in China”, predicts that the crossover point will not be reached until the end of the next decade and says that coal power “is expected to retain competitiveness in India and other populous emerging markets for a much-longer time”.
As for the US, it was reported at the end of last month that US President Donald Trump was pushing forward with his endeavours to revive the US coal mining sector and that the Environmental Protection Agency claimed it was planning to repeal previous president Barack Obama’s Clean Power Plan, relaxing coal-fired power plant regulation. US coal miners like Peabody will no doubt be pleased by this shift in emphasis — its shares are up by 7% in the year to date, having reportedly been boosted by President Trump’s coal-supporting efforts.
Source: The Baltic Briefing
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Sunday, 30 December 18
MAJOR LNG BUYERS' UNCONTRACTED DEMAND TO QUADRUPLE BY 2030 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie’s latest research reveals that uncontracted demand by the world’s seven largest LNG buyers could quadruple to 80 million ...
Saturday, 29 December 18
DELIVERY OF CARGO WITHOUT PRODUCTION OF THE ORIGINAL BILL OF LADING - TT CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
As the bill of lading is a document of title, a person presenting it to the carrier or its agent is ostensibly entitled t ...
Friday, 28 December 18
BIMCO 2020 SULPHUR CLAUSES: "A FAIR ALLOCATION OF RESPONSIBILITIES AND LIABILITIES'? - INCE & CO.
To assist owners and charterers to address the legal issues arising under any time charterparties, which will span the 1 January 2020 implementatio ...
Thursday, 27 December 18
DRY BULKERS SPOT FREIGHT MARKET W/E 21 DEC - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
Capesize
A negative week for the Capesize sector, as activity remained at low levels, especially in the Pacific, with rumors regarding agreed r ...
Thursday, 27 December 18
SHIPPING IS ENTERING A NEW ERA OF EVER CHALLENGING CONDITIONS - ALLIED
As we move closer to the end of the year and we look forward into New Year, we are still finding ourselves looking deep into a market outlook full ...
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Planning Commission, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The University of Queensland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
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