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Wednesday, 11 April 18
US-CHINA TARIFF THREATS RAISE GLOBAL TRADE RISKS - FITCH
 Escalating tariff proposals by the U.S. and Chinese governments are increasing the risks of a full-blown trade war, says Fitch Ratings. The most likely outcome remains a negotiated solution to U.S.-China trade tensions that has limited effect on the near-term growth outlook in both countries and leaves Fitch’s base case global macroeconomic forecasts intact. However, the risk of a more material impact is growing.
Tariff proposals by the U.S. and Chinese governments last week marked an escalation in protectionist rhetoric between the world’s two largest economies. China proposed levying retaliatory tariffs against $50 billion in U.S. products and U.S. President Donald Trump stated that he was considering additional tariffs on a further $100 billion in Chinese goods to the $50 billion he had initially proposed on March 22.
China is reported to have signaled that it would respond further to such action. Whether this would come in the form of retaliatory tariffs non-tariff protectionist measures or a combination remains to be seen. The U.S. exported $187 billion in goods and services to China in 2017, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. By means of illustration, $150 billion in exports is equivalent to 0.8% of U.S. GDP and 1.3% of China’s GDP. The direct impact of tariffs of 25% on trade flows of this size would be 0.2% of U.S. GDP and 0.3% of China’s.
The potential for trade protectionism to negatively affect the U.S. and China’s growth outlook is rising with every incremental escalation in tariff rhetoric, which could lead to a full-blown trade war. Fitch outlined the potential risks of a global trade war instigated by hypothetical across-the-board U.S. tariffs imposed against key trading partners in a scenario report published last year.
We maintain that this would be an extreme scenario, but the implications of such a wide-ranging tariff war would be significant. Both the U.S. and China would see GDP reduced by over two percentage points from the base line after two years with China being more affected. Other major economies including the Eurozone, Japan and the UK would see lesser negative effects but still see growth deceleration.
Market reaction to rising uncertainty could pose macroeconomic risks even before the tariffs’ actual implementation. A significant Chinese yuan depreciation, for example, would likely cause a shock to global markets and potentially affect investment and global trade flows.
For now, the specific proposals of $50 billion of tariffs from both countries are targeted as opposed to across-the-board and small relative to the overall size of their respective economies. Should they be implemented as proposed, we believe that the direct macroeconomic effects on trade, growth and confidence, both globally and for the U.S. and China, would be limited. We continue to forecast for U.S. GDP growth to accelerate this year to 2.7%, with the short-term economic outlook improving alongside loose fiscal policy, wage growth and improved investment. Individual sectors could be affected by the implementation of targeted tariffs though, even if the overall macroeconomic outlook is broadly unchanged.
Importantly, no U.S.-China tariffs have been implemented yet. The U.S.’ initially proposed $50 billion in tariffs are subject to a consultation process so the earliest tariffs are likely to come into effect are the end of May or early June. As such, the tariff proposals may well be part of diplomatic positioning for negotiations and may never come into effect should a mutually agreeable deal be reached that addresses U.S. concerns over the bilateral economic relationship.
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Wednesday, 30 May 18
HIGH PRICE, DMO ENCOURAGE COAL MINERS TO BOOST PRODUCTION - THE JAKARTA POST
A number of coal miners are planning to increase production by 10 percent in the second half of this year after a worldwide price increase.
Th ...
Wednesday, 30 May 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - ILIAS M. LALAOUNIS
Among several hot topics that will be discussed during the Posidonia week, the International Maritime Organization regulation that will be enforced ...
Tuesday, 29 May 18
BLOCKCHAIN CAN HAVE A TRANSFORMATIVE EFFECT ON THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Following the launch of a legal briefing on blockchain contracts from UK P&I Club, Claims Executive, Filip Koscieleck ...
Tuesday, 29 May 18
INDIA'S COAL IMPORT DECLINES IN APRIL AMID DIVERSION TO THERMAL POWER PLANTS - PTI
India’s coal import fell by 9 percent to 17.32 million tonnes (MT) in April on the back of ample supply of dry fuel from domestic sources.
...
Monday, 28 May 18
COAL SUPPLY DIVERSION IRKS INDUSTRIES DEPENDENT ON CAPTIVE POWER PLANTS - HINDU BUSINESS LINE
The government’s move to prioritise coal supplies to power plants with minimal coal stock has disrupted fuel supply to some sectors, which ha ...
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Showing 1711 to 1715 news of total 6871 |
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- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PTC India Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
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