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Wednesday, 23 September 15
CAPESIZE: SPOT RATES HAVE INCREASED MORE THAN 70 PER CENT DURING LAST WEEK
 Dry Bulk owners, always look at September as the time that the market “signals” what lies ahead for the remainder of the year. The Chinese iron ore restocking that traditionally picks up during Q4, is currently stealing the spotlight. The Capesize summer rally proved to be short-lived, with the average rate for the segment losing most of its gains and settling around $8,000/day. Spot rates have nonetheless increased more than 70% during last week.
Looking at the short term momentum, this appears to be favoring another boost for the big bulkers. Iron ore stockpiles at Chinese ports are currently well below the five year average. The 14% drop in imports that took place in August, has at the same time created an additional “gap” to be filled. The ratio of the present inventory of iron ore over steel production, which is also well below the five-year average, points out to a bigger than usual portion of iron ore stockpiles being consumed by Chinese mills and turned into steel. Despite the fact that domestic steel consumption has been faltering as of last year, production has found support in exports, which are up a whopping 27% in the first 8 months of the year. With low inventories of iron ore, steel production inching up last month, and a very strong trend of steel exports year to date, everything points out to another round of stockpiling and possibly another mini Capesize rally in the way, “mini” being the operative word here.
Although rates appear set to advance further in the following days, I am skeptic in regards to how long positive momentum can be sustained. The reality is that despite the decrease in Chinese iron ore production levels, these are still considerable given the current steel output in the country, setting a limit in imports and consequently the spikes Cape rates enjoy. As steel producers in China turn to higher quality imported iron ore and local iron ore producers exit the market amidst low prices, things certainly move towards the “right” direction but we are hardly there yet.
Additionally and even most importantly, China remains the top steel consuming market worldwide and despite the fact that shipping its steel to India and other SE Asian countries might be offsetting part of the gap created by the domestic consumption slowdown, it doesn’t even get close to filling it. With Chinese steel consumption and production expected to shift into an even lower gear, the amount of iron ore required by Chinese producers going forward is set to keep less and less dwt busy. Muddy waters for Capes.
By Eva Tzima
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 01 October 15
SOUTH KOREA'S KOMIPO SEEKS SPOT BITUMINOUS COAL SUPPLIES
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued an new tender for 265,000 Metric Tons (MT) of minimum 4,600 kcal ...
Wednesday, 30 September 15
Q1'16 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FALLS $1.25 A TON AS SLIDE CONTINUES
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q4 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The Q4 swap declined $ 0.72 (-1.78%) per t ...
Wednesday, 30 September 15
NEW BUILDING MARKET INSIGHT
COALspot.com: This year has been, beyond any doubt, a rather strenuous one for the newbuilding market. Ordering activity with regards to Dry Bulker ...
Tuesday, 29 September 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS ARE SLIDING
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q4' 2015 declined week over week and month over month.
The Q4 swap was down US$ ...
Monday, 28 September 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS UP $2.15 IN ONE MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q4’ 2015 delivery increased $2.10 per ton (5.15%) month over month to US$ 42.93 per ton. The ...
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- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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