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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Thursday, 19 February 15
PANAMAX: NOPAC AND AUSSIE ROUNDS ARE DONE IN LOW/MID $ 4000; TRIPS VIA INDONESIA TO INDIA CLOSER TO THE $5000 MARK - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The handy and supra market has not seen any firming rates in front of the Chinese New Year and still suffering on low activity in both hemi ...
Wednesday, 18 February 15
DRY BULK SHIPPING TO RECOVER IN LATE 2015 - DREWRY MARITIME RESEARCH
Strong trade growth, moderating fleet development and deployment of new fuel efficient vessels are expected to lead to a recovery in dry bulk shipp ...
Tuesday, 17 February 15
WHO PAYS THE SUEZ CANAL FEES? - INCE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
This was an appeal from an arbitration award on a point of construction in relation to the wording of an addendum to a ch ...
Tuesday, 17 February 15
BUOYANT WAVES IN RECENT YEARS: GLOBAL SHIP INVESTMENT SINCE THE CRASH - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Anxiety about fleet expansion is a recurring feature of world shipping markets. Within the global maritime community, worries about the vast amount ...
Tuesday, 17 February 15
FOB SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP UP 8% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q2 swap up US$ 3.58 (+8.00%) month o ...
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PTC India Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
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