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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Wednesday, 11 March 15
RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS DROP $ 3.65 - 4.0/T W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 declined month over month and week on week.
The Q2 swap has fell US$ ...
Wednesday, 11 March 15
DRY BULK MARKET CLOSED OFF ON THE GREEN FOR A SECOND WEEK IN A ROW - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market closed off on the green for a second week in a row, while the performance of Capesizes hindered a more substantia ...
Wednesday, 11 March 15
MARKET INSIGHT : NEWBUILDINGS - PANOS TSILINGIRIS
From a cost-based, buy-low perspective, there is currently a buying opportunity in the second-hand dry bulk market. I am an anti-cyclical (buy-low) ...
Wednesday, 11 March 15
DRY BULK MARKET: ALL IS NOT LOST FOR A RECOVERY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The low cost of commodities across the board could trigger an increase of trade among many countries, which in turn could lead to a recovery of the ...
Wednesday, 11 March 15
U.S. ELECTRIC GENERATING COMPANIES TO ADD MORE THAN 20 GW OF GENERATING CAPACITY IN 2015; 16 GW OF GENERATING CAPACITY IS EXPECTED TO RETIRE IN 2015
COALspot.com: In 2015, electric generating companies in U.S. expect to add more than 20 gigawatts (GW) of utility-scale generating capacity to the ...
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- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The University of Queensland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- White Energy Company Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
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