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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Friday, 13 March 15
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION UP 2.3% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 13 March 15
ADARO RECORDED A 7% INCREASE IN EBITDA OF $877 MILLION IN 2014
“Coal market continues to be difficult and challenging” – Adaro Energy
The world’s Top 5 thermal coal exporter, ...
Thursday, 12 March 15
CAPESIZE : ACTIVITY IS LOW; PANAMAX: BIT MORE ACTIVITY; HANDY: A FIRMING WEEK
Handy
It has been a firming week in both hemispheres this week and especially in the Pacific, says Fearnleys AS in its week's week report.
...
Thursday, 12 March 15
COAL MINERS REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE AS GLUT CONTINUES - THE JAKARTA POST
Indonesia’s major coal miners reported a significant drop in their earnings last year as the sharp drop in the global demand, mainly from Chi ...
Thursday, 12 March 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP DROP TO $47.33 A TON IN THE WEEK ENDED MAR.6
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 drop month on month and week over week.
The Q2 swap fell US$ 0.37 (0.78%) month ...
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- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
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