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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Monday, 16 March 15
MAKING THE WORLD GO ROUND - SEABORNE TRADE! - CLARKSONS
Money, or even love if you prefer, are claimed to make the world go round. For the shipping world, however, it’s trade that sets things spinn ...
Monday, 16 March 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS: DECLINED
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 2.48 per MT (-4.77%) month over month and US$ 0.93 (-1.84%) we ...
Monday, 16 March 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA THERMAL COAL SWAP DECLINED 3.74% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 2.17 (-3.74%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.67 (-1 ...
Sunday, 15 March 15
BDI DECLINED LESSER THAN 1% WEEK OVER WEEK; INDO-INDIA FIRM
COALspot.com: The most of indices, including bulk dry index were falling this week. The BDI has been down by just 0.53 points and closing at 562 po ...
Saturday, 14 March 15
CAPESIZE DRY BULKERS TO AVERAGE BETWEEN $3,000 AND $9,000/DAY IN THE COMING WEEKS SAYS BIMCO
BIMCO issued its latest short-term estimates for the dry bulk market. For March/May: BIMCO assesses that the Capesize time charter (T/C) average ra ...
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- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Planning Commission, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
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