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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Thursday, 19 March 15
HANDY: INDO COAL CARGOS DESTINED FOR INDIA BEING FIXED IN REGION OF $ 7-8K - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Handy and Supra market has had a week with mixed signals. Although we see more activity in both hemispheres the rates are only up about ...
Thursday, 19 March 15
INDONESIAN COAL BENCHMARK SOAR 7.69% IN MARCH....!!!
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised up Indonesian coal benchmark prices to US$ 67.76 per MT in March ...
Wednesday, 18 March 15
AVERAGE RATE FOR CAPES MOVED TO BELOW $ 4K/DAY LAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The even heavier losses noted in the Capesize segment last week, denied the Dry Bulk market a third weekly positive, while the smalle ...
Wednesday, 18 March 15
PARKING THE CAPES - LINOS KOGEVINAS
It is no secret that recent times have been anything but kind towards shipping, and no sector has suffered more lately than the dry bulk one. While ...
Wednesday, 18 March 15
CHINA-OWNED SHIPS: A RAPID RISE TO BECOME ONE OF THE WORLD'S LARGEST FLEETS - RICHARD SCOTT
Ships operated by owners based in China have become increasingly prominent on the world’s sea routes. China-owned container ships, bulk carri ...
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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