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Monday, 20 October 14
CHINA'S ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES DO NOT SPELL THE END FOR COAL - WOOD MACKENZIE
China's environmental policies do not spell the end for coal Analysis across energy commodities show coal still accounting for 64% of power mix by 2030, while overall gas demand growth in China will be strongest
As details for China's Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan (APPCAP) have evolved through 2014, energy suppliers have raised concerns that the continual re-thinking of targets and goals is creating uncertainty for China's energy and resources demand. In 'A moving target - assessing the impact of China's environmental policies', Wood Mackenzie concludes that within the energy, resources and mining sectors, China's recent environmental policies broadly continue to encourage the expansion of natural gas. More surprisingly however, despite some industry belief that this will result in coal's decline, Wood Mackenzie says coal demand will actually be supported and remain the dominant fuel in China's power mix.
Wood Mackenzie forecasts that coal's role in power is likely to decline from 72% to 64% of China's power mix as a result of APPCAP but remains the primary fuel for China. In absolute terms, this translates to coal demand increasing by just over two billion tonnes from now until then. Mr David Brown, Northeast Asia Power Markets Manager, explains, "Tackling chronic air pollution is a clear government priority but not the only one: economic growth, energy security and low cost energy remain paramount. Although initial policy goals focused on expanding the role of gas through demand targets or caps on coal consumption, policy releases throughout 2014 have now evolved to focus on emissions control rather than mass fuel switching to gas."
Northeast Asia Mining and Metals Manager, Mr Rohan Kendall says "The latest APPCAP policies are not aimed at penalising coal, but are a major step towards sustainable policies encouraging clean-coal use. The impact of APPCAP policies will affect the type of coal consumed by coastal power plants and emissions control rather than absolute demand volumes. With a reduced emphasis on switching coal-fired plants to gas for example, utilities will become more prudent in plant operations and coal selection - supporting low-ash and low-sulphur imports".
Even with a reduced emphasis on coal switching to gas, Wood Mackenzie's analysis shows China's environmental policies as broadly positive for gas, despite an expectation of some near-term growing pains as new supplies ramp-up. Gas demand in China will increase from around 207 billion cubic metres (bcm) in 2014 to 335 bcm by 2017, with demand from power, transport and the residential/commercial sectors contributing most to the growth near term. Further on from 2020 to 2030, gas demand will see an annualised average growth rate above four-percent, reaching 655 bcm by this time as China becomes with world's second largest gas market after the US.
Beyond power, gas and coal, Wood Mackenzie expects environmental policies will have little impact on demand for petrochemicals, iron ore, steel and metals. Rather, capacity closures will impact these industries more. Capacity that is out-dated, with high emissions and low margins will gradually see shut downs as the government tightens credit, which has been the lifeline of these industries over the last several years. Still, these capacity closures will not have an impact on production with limited impact on raw material demand. The intention is to consolidate fragmented and less efficient operations, not lower output.
Mr Brown concludes, "The way China's environmental policies have evolved already shows that they do not work in isolation but in a more complex fashion, hand-in-hand with conomic goals. The new leadership is focused on formulating integrated policies that balance these objectives. This approach indicates China's evolving environmental policies are not intended to be destructive for energy, mining, and metals but will rather help these industries grow sustainably and efficiently through the long term."
About Wood Mackenzie
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions.
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Wednesday, 22 October 14
CAPESIZE MARKET REMAINED UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market closed on the red for yet another week although following Friday sentiment has started to improve on the back of ...
Tuesday, 21 October 14
INDIA'S DIESEL DEREGULATION POSITIVE FOR OIL COMPANIES - FITCH
The Indian government's 18 October decision to deregulate diesel prices will have a positive effect on the national oil marketing companies tha ...
Tuesday, 21 October 14
LOW DEMAND PUTTING COAL SWAPS UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q4' 2014 lost on day, week and month.
The swap has lost US$ 1.57 (-3.04%) month on month ...
Monday, 20 October 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FAILED TO PERFORM POSITIVE
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery decreased US$ 3.04 (-4.57%) month over month and US$ 1.75 (-2.68%) week o ...
Sunday, 19 October 14
LOW DEMAND PUSHES DOWN COAL FREIGHT RATES; VOLATILITY CONTINUES
COALspot.com: This week all the segments softened including BDI except for Panamax index.
The BDI was down by1.70 pct and clsoed at 944 points ...
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Showing 3416 to 3420 news of total 6871 |
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- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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