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Monday, 20 October 14
CHINA'S ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES DO NOT SPELL THE END FOR COAL - WOOD MACKENZIE
China's environmental policies do not spell the end for coal Analysis across energy commodities show coal still accounting for 64% of power mix by 2030, while overall gas demand growth in China will be strongest
As details for China's Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan (APPCAP) have evolved through 2014, energy suppliers have raised concerns that the continual re-thinking of targets and goals is creating uncertainty for China's energy and resources demand. In 'A moving target - assessing the impact of China's environmental policies', Wood Mackenzie concludes that within the energy, resources and mining sectors, China's recent environmental policies broadly continue to encourage the expansion of natural gas. More surprisingly however, despite some industry belief that this will result in coal's decline, Wood Mackenzie says coal demand will actually be supported and remain the dominant fuel in China's power mix.
Wood Mackenzie forecasts that coal's role in power is likely to decline from 72% to 64% of China's power mix as a result of APPCAP but remains the primary fuel for China. In absolute terms, this translates to coal demand increasing by just over two billion tonnes from now until then. Mr David Brown, Northeast Asia Power Markets Manager, explains, "Tackling chronic air pollution is a clear government priority but not the only one: economic growth, energy security and low cost energy remain paramount. Although initial policy goals focused on expanding the role of gas through demand targets or caps on coal consumption, policy releases throughout 2014 have now evolved to focus on emissions control rather than mass fuel switching to gas."
Northeast Asia Mining and Metals Manager, Mr Rohan Kendall says "The latest APPCAP policies are not aimed at penalising coal, but are a major step towards sustainable policies encouraging clean-coal use. The impact of APPCAP policies will affect the type of coal consumed by coastal power plants and emissions control rather than absolute demand volumes. With a reduced emphasis on switching coal-fired plants to gas for example, utilities will become more prudent in plant operations and coal selection - supporting low-ash and low-sulphur imports".
Even with a reduced emphasis on coal switching to gas, Wood Mackenzie's analysis shows China's environmental policies as broadly positive for gas, despite an expectation of some near-term growing pains as new supplies ramp-up. Gas demand in China will increase from around 207 billion cubic metres (bcm) in 2014 to 335 bcm by 2017, with demand from power, transport and the residential/commercial sectors contributing most to the growth near term. Further on from 2020 to 2030, gas demand will see an annualised average growth rate above four-percent, reaching 655 bcm by this time as China becomes with world's second largest gas market after the US.
Beyond power, gas and coal, Wood Mackenzie expects environmental policies will have little impact on demand for petrochemicals, iron ore, steel and metals. Rather, capacity closures will impact these industries more. Capacity that is out-dated, with high emissions and low margins will gradually see shut downs as the government tightens credit, which has been the lifeline of these industries over the last several years. Still, these capacity closures will not have an impact on production with limited impact on raw material demand. The intention is to consolidate fragmented and less efficient operations, not lower output.
Mr Brown concludes, "The way China's environmental policies have evolved already shows that they do not work in isolation but in a more complex fashion, hand-in-hand with conomic goals. The new leadership is focused on formulating integrated policies that balance these objectives. This approach indicates China's evolving environmental policies are not intended to be destructive for energy, mining, and metals but will rather help these industries grow sustainably and efficiently through the long term."
About Wood Mackenzie
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions.
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Wednesday, 22 October 14
CAPESIZE MARKET REMAINED UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market closed on the red for yet another week although following Friday sentiment has started to improve on the back of ...
Tuesday, 21 October 14
INDIA'S DIESEL DEREGULATION POSITIVE FOR OIL COMPANIES - FITCH
The Indian government's 18 October decision to deregulate diesel prices will have a positive effect on the national oil marketing companies tha ...
Tuesday, 21 October 14
LOW DEMAND PUTTING COAL SWAPS UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q4' 2014 lost on day, week and month.
The swap has lost US$ 1.57 (-3.04%) month on month ...
Monday, 20 October 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FAILED TO PERFORM POSITIVE
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery decreased US$ 3.04 (-4.57%) month over month and US$ 1.75 (-2.68%) week o ...
Sunday, 19 October 14
LOW DEMAND PUSHES DOWN COAL FREIGHT RATES; VOLATILITY CONTINUES
COALspot.com: This week all the segments softened including BDI except for Panamax index.
The BDI was down by1.70 pct and clsoed at 944 points ...
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Showing 3416 to 3420 news of total 6871 |
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
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