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Monday, 20 October 14
CHINA'S ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES DO NOT SPELL THE END FOR COAL - WOOD MACKENZIE
China's environmental policies do not spell the end for coal Analysis across energy commodities show coal still accounting for 64% of power mix by 2030, while overall gas demand growth in China will be strongest
As details for China's Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan (APPCAP) have evolved through 2014, energy suppliers have raised concerns that the continual re-thinking of targets and goals is creating uncertainty for China's energy and resources demand. In 'A moving target - assessing the impact of China's environmental policies', Wood Mackenzie concludes that within the energy, resources and mining sectors, China's recent environmental policies broadly continue to encourage the expansion of natural gas. More surprisingly however, despite some industry belief that this will result in coal's decline, Wood Mackenzie says coal demand will actually be supported and remain the dominant fuel in China's power mix.
Wood Mackenzie forecasts that coal's role in power is likely to decline from 72% to 64% of China's power mix as a result of APPCAP but remains the primary fuel for China. In absolute terms, this translates to coal demand increasing by just over two billion tonnes from now until then. Mr David Brown, Northeast Asia Power Markets Manager, explains, "Tackling chronic air pollution is a clear government priority but not the only one: economic growth, energy security and low cost energy remain paramount. Although initial policy goals focused on expanding the role of gas through demand targets or caps on coal consumption, policy releases throughout 2014 have now evolved to focus on emissions control rather than mass fuel switching to gas."
Northeast Asia Mining and Metals Manager, Mr Rohan Kendall says "The latest APPCAP policies are not aimed at penalising coal, but are a major step towards sustainable policies encouraging clean-coal use. The impact of APPCAP policies will affect the type of coal consumed by coastal power plants and emissions control rather than absolute demand volumes. With a reduced emphasis on switching coal-fired plants to gas for example, utilities will become more prudent in plant operations and coal selection - supporting low-ash and low-sulphur imports".
Even with a reduced emphasis on coal switching to gas, Wood Mackenzie's analysis shows China's environmental policies as broadly positive for gas, despite an expectation of some near-term growing pains as new supplies ramp-up. Gas demand in China will increase from around 207 billion cubic metres (bcm) in 2014 to 335 bcm by 2017, with demand from power, transport and the residential/commercial sectors contributing most to the growth near term. Further on from 2020 to 2030, gas demand will see an annualised average growth rate above four-percent, reaching 655 bcm by this time as China becomes with world's second largest gas market after the US.
Beyond power, gas and coal, Wood Mackenzie expects environmental policies will have little impact on demand for petrochemicals, iron ore, steel and metals. Rather, capacity closures will impact these industries more. Capacity that is out-dated, with high emissions and low margins will gradually see shut downs as the government tightens credit, which has been the lifeline of these industries over the last several years. Still, these capacity closures will not have an impact on production with limited impact on raw material demand. The intention is to consolidate fragmented and less efficient operations, not lower output.
Mr Brown concludes, "The way China's environmental policies have evolved already shows that they do not work in isolation but in a more complex fashion, hand-in-hand with conomic goals. The new leadership is focused on formulating integrated policies that balance these objectives. This approach indicates China's evolving environmental policies are not intended to be destructive for energy, mining, and metals but will rather help these industries grow sustainably and efficiently through the long term."
About Wood Mackenzie
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions.
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Wednesday, 22 October 14
CAPESIZE MARKET REMAINED UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market closed on the red for yet another week although following Friday sentiment has started to improve on the back of ...
Tuesday, 21 October 14
INDIA'S DIESEL DEREGULATION POSITIVE FOR OIL COMPANIES - FITCH
The Indian government's 18 October decision to deregulate diesel prices will have a positive effect on the national oil marketing companies tha ...
Tuesday, 21 October 14
LOW DEMAND PUTTING COAL SWAPS UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q4' 2014 lost on day, week and month.
The swap has lost US$ 1.57 (-3.04%) month on month ...
Monday, 20 October 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FAILED TO PERFORM POSITIVE
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery decreased US$ 3.04 (-4.57%) month over month and US$ 1.75 (-2.68%) week o ...
Sunday, 19 October 14
LOW DEMAND PUSHES DOWN COAL FREIGHT RATES; VOLATILITY CONTINUES
COALspot.com: This week all the segments softened including BDI except for Panamax index.
The BDI was down by1.70 pct and clsoed at 944 points ...
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Showing 3416 to 3420 news of total 6871 |
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- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Planning Commission, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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