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Monday, 20 October 14
CHINA'S ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES DO NOT SPELL THE END FOR COAL - WOOD MACKENZIE
China's environmental policies do not spell the end for coal Analysis across energy commodities show coal still accounting for 64% of power mix by 2030, while overall gas demand growth in China will be strongest
As details for China's Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan (APPCAP) have evolved through 2014, energy suppliers have raised concerns that the continual re-thinking of targets and goals is creating uncertainty for China's energy and resources demand. In 'A moving target - assessing the impact of China's environmental policies', Wood Mackenzie concludes that within the energy, resources and mining sectors, China's recent environmental policies broadly continue to encourage the expansion of natural gas. More surprisingly however, despite some industry belief that this will result in coal's decline, Wood Mackenzie says coal demand will actually be supported and remain the dominant fuel in China's power mix.
Wood Mackenzie forecasts that coal's role in power is likely to decline from 72% to 64% of China's power mix as a result of APPCAP but remains the primary fuel for China. In absolute terms, this translates to coal demand increasing by just over two billion tonnes from now until then. Mr David Brown, Northeast Asia Power Markets Manager, explains, "Tackling chronic air pollution is a clear government priority but not the only one: economic growth, energy security and low cost energy remain paramount. Although initial policy goals focused on expanding the role of gas through demand targets or caps on coal consumption, policy releases throughout 2014 have now evolved to focus on emissions control rather than mass fuel switching to gas."
Northeast Asia Mining and Metals Manager, Mr Rohan Kendall says "The latest APPCAP policies are not aimed at penalising coal, but are a major step towards sustainable policies encouraging clean-coal use. The impact of APPCAP policies will affect the type of coal consumed by coastal power plants and emissions control rather than absolute demand volumes. With a reduced emphasis on switching coal-fired plants to gas for example, utilities will become more prudent in plant operations and coal selection - supporting low-ash and low-sulphur imports".
Even with a reduced emphasis on coal switching to gas, Wood Mackenzie's analysis shows China's environmental policies as broadly positive for gas, despite an expectation of some near-term growing pains as new supplies ramp-up. Gas demand in China will increase from around 207 billion cubic metres (bcm) in 2014 to 335 bcm by 2017, with demand from power, transport and the residential/commercial sectors contributing most to the growth near term. Further on from 2020 to 2030, gas demand will see an annualised average growth rate above four-percent, reaching 655 bcm by this time as China becomes with world's second largest gas market after the US.
Beyond power, gas and coal, Wood Mackenzie expects environmental policies will have little impact on demand for petrochemicals, iron ore, steel and metals. Rather, capacity closures will impact these industries more. Capacity that is out-dated, with high emissions and low margins will gradually see shut downs as the government tightens credit, which has been the lifeline of these industries over the last several years. Still, these capacity closures will not have an impact on production with limited impact on raw material demand. The intention is to consolidate fragmented and less efficient operations, not lower output.
Mr Brown concludes, "The way China's environmental policies have evolved already shows that they do not work in isolation but in a more complex fashion, hand-in-hand with conomic goals. The new leadership is focused on formulating integrated policies that balance these objectives. This approach indicates China's evolving environmental policies are not intended to be destructive for energy, mining, and metals but will rather help these industries grow sustainably and efficiently through the long term."
About Wood Mackenzie
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions.
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Thursday, 16 October 14
ARE WE GOING TO SHOOT OURSELVES IN THE FOOT ONCE AGAIN? - PANOS MAKRINOS
As the East part of our globe was coming back from its October holidays last week, everyone expected that the Dry Bulk market would follow suit and ...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
PANAMAX: ACTIVITY IN THE PACIFIC WAS UNIMPRESSIVE
The Dry Bulk market noted another weekly decline last week, while the BDI moved below 1,000 points taking down with it expectations that a post hol ...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE FELL TO FRESH MULTI-YEAR LOWS IN OCTOBER
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down the coal bench mark price once again in October 2014.
...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
DRY BULK SHIPPING: RATE IMPROVEMENTS ARRIVED AS FORECAST, BUT UNCERTAINTY MOUNTS FOR 2015 DEMAND - BIMCO
BIMCO released its latest short term assessment of the dry bulk market, estimating that over the October-November period, the level of Capesize TC ...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
SHIPOWNER NOT LIABLE FOR CARGO DAMAGE RESULTING FROM POOR STOWAGE - CLYDE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Russian metal trading company Yuzhny Zavod Metall Profil (YZMP), the holder of a CONGEN 1994 bill of lading, took delivery o ...
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Showing 3426 to 3430 news of total 6871 |
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- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The University of Queensland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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