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Wednesday, 16 October 13
WILL THIS LATEST DRY BULK MARKET UPTREND PROVE TO BE AS LONG-LIVED OR JUST ANOTHER MOMENTARY SPIKE? - CHRISTOS MANZTIOS
COALspot.com: So here we are again facing the same old question: Will this latest market uptrend prove to be as long-lived as all owners hope or just another momentary spike which will deflate at the first signs of trouble?, said Christos Manztios a SnP Broker from Intermodal in his latest weekly report.
According to Christos Manztios, the dry bulk market, despite having been on a roller coaster ride since early spring, has now entered the seasonally strong months of October and November with renewed optimism. But this might come at price: Renewed optimism might result in a flurry of new-building activity/ordering which could, if done in excess, ultimately tip the scales against owners once again.
Intermodal's analyst Manztios said his latest report, albeit the improved market conditions, new ordering have seemingly started to slow down as the lack of availability of early slots (now seeing early to mid-2016) coupled with rising NB prices have both started to take their toll on buying interest. During September the dry bulk market witnessed a total of 58 dry orders, with Ultramaxes holding the lion's share and numbering 22 in total, while Handies closely followed in volume with 21.
For the time being new building capacity seems to be waning, with several shipbuilders already limiting production in many of their facilities and overstretching their slots’ schedule. This has worked fine so far, but as freight earnings start to improve and in turn we see ever growing demand for new orders, shipbuilders will inevitably seeks to remobilize their unused resources and step back up to full production, plaguing the industry with excess tonnage supply once again, Intermodal weekly report said.
According to Intermodal weekly report, Greek owners top the list for NB orders placed so far this year in terms of both number of vessels and dwt (131 vessels/11.7 mill dwt) followed by Japanese owners in terms of number of ships (106 vessels/4.2mill dwt) and Chinese owners in terms of dwt (96 vessels/6 mill dwt). Greek buyers also dominated the second hand market as well, with one in every four vessels that changed hand during 2013 ending up to a Greek buyer and at ever higher prices.
This is epitomized in the likes of sales such as that of the M/V Cape Challenger (180kdwt blt 2013 IHI) and M/V JK Pioneer (180kdwt blt 2013 HHI) which were reported sold reg USD 52mill each, a sharp appreciation in price when compared (especially taking into account the fact that the sale was included by a below market charter attached of USD 11,000/day till May 2014) with the sale of M/V Bulk Canada (180kdwt blt 2012 Hanjin Philippines) reg USD 41.25mill back in August.
"This trend is not solely attributed to the freight rally in Capes but also backed by both an overall positive perception as to the prospects of the market from 2014 onwards and the still attractively-priced assets across all size segments (at least in comparison with pre-2012 levels where a 5 year old Cape was priced above USD 36.0 mill, a 5 year old Panamax above USD 26.5 mill and a 5 year old Supramax was above USD 24,5 mill)," according to Intermodal's analyst Manztios.
Caution (and eye-brows) may have been raised as to the potential longevity of the recent run-up in freight rates, but it doesn’t look like the upward momentum is over just yet. Things may have slowed down for Capes, but with their average freight rates still holding above 30,000/day and with the rest of the size segments slowing showing signs of catching up in gains, it will all depend to what extent this positive momentum can hold and how well these new market conditions will hold up in the first quarter of 2014 a period in the year that tends to be considerably softer and a good indicator as to how well the market will perform during the whole year, Christos Manztios a SnP Broker from Intermodal concluded.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations | research@intermodal.gr
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 15 October 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 6.50% MORE COAL W-O-W
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port up 6.50 per cent week on week to 3.19 million mt for ...
Monday, 14 October 13
MEMR OF INDONESIA SETS THE COAL'S SPOT PRICE AT US$ 76.61 FOR OCT'13 DELIVERY
COALspot. com - The Indonesian government has revised down government declared coal bench mark price by US$ 0.28/ MT to US$ 76.61 for October 2013 d ...
Monday, 14 October 13
CARBON POLICIES UNLIKELY TO PREVENT A COAL-FUELLED WORLD - WOOD MACKENZIE
China will propel coal growth but US, Europe and Asia will sustain global demand.
At the World Energy Congress (WEC) today Wood Mackenzie's Pres ...
Sunday, 13 October 13
Q4'13 DELIVERY SUB-BIT INDO COAL SWAP FALLS SEVEN STRAIGHT WEEK
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery fell 1.72 percept month on month on Friday 11 October 201 ...
Sunday, 13 October 13
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL - AVERAGE Q4 2013 DELIVERY FELL 0.30 PERCEPT ON WEEK
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q4 2013 delivery fell 0.30 percept week on week on Friday 11 October 2013. The CFR South ...
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- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Coal Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
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