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Wednesday, 16 October 13
WILL THIS LATEST DRY BULK MARKET UPTREND PROVE TO BE AS LONG-LIVED OR JUST ANOTHER MOMENTARY SPIKE? - CHRISTOS MANZTIOS
COALspot.com: So here we are again facing the same old question: Will this latest market uptrend prove to be as long-lived as all owners hope or just another momentary spike which will deflate at the first signs of trouble?, said Christos Manztios a SnP Broker from Intermodal in his latest weekly report.
According to Christos Manztios, the dry bulk market, despite having been on a roller coaster ride since early spring, has now entered the seasonally strong months of October and November with renewed optimism. But this might come at price: Renewed optimism might result in a flurry of new-building activity/ordering which could, if done in excess, ultimately tip the scales against owners once again.
Intermodal's analyst Manztios said his latest report, albeit the improved market conditions, new ordering have seemingly started to slow down as the lack of availability of early slots (now seeing early to mid-2016) coupled with rising NB prices have both started to take their toll on buying interest. During September the dry bulk market witnessed a total of 58 dry orders, with Ultramaxes holding the lion's share and numbering 22 in total, while Handies closely followed in volume with 21.
For the time being new building capacity seems to be waning, with several shipbuilders already limiting production in many of their facilities and overstretching their slots’ schedule. This has worked fine so far, but as freight earnings start to improve and in turn we see ever growing demand for new orders, shipbuilders will inevitably seeks to remobilize their unused resources and step back up to full production, plaguing the industry with excess tonnage supply once again, Intermodal weekly report said.
According to Intermodal weekly report, Greek owners top the list for NB orders placed so far this year in terms of both number of vessels and dwt (131 vessels/11.7 mill dwt) followed by Japanese owners in terms of number of ships (106 vessels/4.2mill dwt) and Chinese owners in terms of dwt (96 vessels/6 mill dwt). Greek buyers also dominated the second hand market as well, with one in every four vessels that changed hand during 2013 ending up to a Greek buyer and at ever higher prices.
This is epitomized in the likes of sales such as that of the M/V Cape Challenger (180kdwt blt 2013 IHI) and M/V JK Pioneer (180kdwt blt 2013 HHI) which were reported sold reg USD 52mill each, a sharp appreciation in price when compared (especially taking into account the fact that the sale was included by a below market charter attached of USD 11,000/day till May 2014) with the sale of M/V Bulk Canada (180kdwt blt 2012 Hanjin Philippines) reg USD 41.25mill back in August.
"This trend is not solely attributed to the freight rally in Capes but also backed by both an overall positive perception as to the prospects of the market from 2014 onwards and the still attractively-priced assets across all size segments (at least in comparison with pre-2012 levels where a 5 year old Cape was priced above USD 36.0 mill, a 5 year old Panamax above USD 26.5 mill and a 5 year old Supramax was above USD 24,5 mill)," according to Intermodal's analyst Manztios.
Caution (and eye-brows) may have been raised as to the potential longevity of the recent run-up in freight rates, but it doesn’t look like the upward momentum is over just yet. Things may have slowed down for Capes, but with their average freight rates still holding above 30,000/day and with the rest of the size segments slowing showing signs of catching up in gains, it will all depend to what extent this positive momentum can hold and how well these new market conditions will hold up in the first quarter of 2014 a period in the year that tends to be considerably softer and a good indicator as to how well the market will perform during the whole year, Christos Manztios a SnP Broker from Intermodal concluded.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations | research@intermodal.gr
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Saturday, 12 October 13
PANAMAX: OWNERS ARE AT US$ 17-18.5K PER DAY; CHARTERERS ARE AT US$ 15.5-16K - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com - The futures market was heavily down on the cape size vessels and the physical average charterer rates on cape size vessels dropped by ...
Friday, 11 October 13
DRY BULK FREIGHT RATE POSITIVE MOMENTUM TO BE SUPPORTED BY HIGHER DEMAND SAYS BIMCO - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
BIMCO released its latest short term research on the shipping markets, estimating that the elevated level of Capesize TC average rates i ...
Friday, 11 October 13
US COAL PRODUCTION FALLS 7.70% IN SEPTEMBER
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer produced approximately 17.70 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 10 October 13
NPC AUSTRALIA SHIPPED 2.99 MILLION TONS OF COAL W-O-W
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port up 12.04 per cent week on week to 2.99 million mt for ...
Thursday, 10 October 13
SEVERAL PANAMAX FIXTURES FOR 1 YEAR TC HAVE BEEN REPORTED AROUND $13.5K/DAY - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The market is not much fancy as several holidays in the Far East last week. Tonnage side seems tight in SE Asia but there are many of them in ...
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- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
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