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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 30 September 10
DRY BULK MARKET HEADS SOUTH ONCE MORE WITH MARKET SENTIMENT TAKING A CAUTIOUS APPROACH - HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market didn’t manage to maintain the slightly upward momentum it had established during the first two session of the week, with t ...
Wednesday, 29 September 10
MOZAMBIQUE: COAL IN THREE MORE TETE DISTRICTS
All africa reported that, Coal deposits have been confirmed in the districts of Changara, Cahora Bassa and Magoe, in the western Mozambican province ...
Tuesday, 28 September 10
MMTC TO AWARD CONTRACT TO CEPL AND KNOWLEDGE TO SUPPLY 0.835 MILLION TONS OF IMPORTED COAL
COALspot.com: MMTC, India’s state owned trading company has opened three coal purchase tenders today.
According to our market sources, Coas ...
Monday, 27 September 10
DRY BULK: FREIGHT RATES CONTINUE TO FALL ON LOW ACTIVITY - HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market didn’t manage to change its fortunes during the past week, with holidays across many Asian countries, predominantly China, ...
Saturday, 25 September 10
INDONESIA HAS EXPORTED 187.656 MILLION TONNES OF COAL IN EIGHT MONTHS
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world largest coal exporter has exported 187.656 million tons of coal for the period January – August this ...
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- Minerals Council of Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The University of Queensland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
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