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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 20 September 10
MMTC SEEKS TO BUY 1.3 MT OF COAL FOR INDIA UTILITIES - SXCOAL
MMTC Ltd., India’s largest state- owned trading company, is seeking bids for the supply of 1.3 million tonnes of coal to feed power plants run ...
Monday, 20 September 10
KANGAROO RESOURCES SIGNS PARTNERSHIP WITH ASEAMCO FOR INDONESIAN COAL ASSETS - PROACTIVE INVESTORS
International coal producer Kangaroo Resources (ASX: KRL) has completed a new three-year agreement with Australian mining consultants ASEAMCO to del ...
Monday, 20 September 10
ICVL LOOKS FOR COAL ASSETS IN UZBEK, INDONESIA, AUSTRALIA - ECONOMIC TIMES
Economic Times reported that, International Coal Ventures, or ICVL, the special purpose vehicle floated by five state-owned firms to scout for coal ...
Monday, 20 September 10
IRON-ORE SHIPPING DEMAND MAY GAIN ONCE CHINA STEEL CUTS FINISH, SSY SAYS
Demand to transport iron ore may rebound once China ends steel-production cuts and steel prices may gain in the next several months because of the r ...
Saturday, 18 September 10
ECI / CHINA FREIGHT ROUTE DOWN BY 1.22 PCT OR US$ 225 PER DAY AND CLOSED AT US$ 18,123 PER DAY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com: The BDI was under pressure this week and was almost down by 11 pct and closed at 2676 points.
The Cape and Panamax index was almost ...
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- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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