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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 04 October 10
2 BLN TONS OF COAL RESERVES DISCOVERED IN SOUTHERN PAKISTAN - XINHUA / HELLENIC SHIPPING
Xinhua and Hellenic Shipping reporte dhtat, the discovery of at least two billion tons of usable coal reserves has been confirmed in one of the ...
Sunday, 03 October 10
THE BDI WAS JUST INCREASED BY 8 POINTS AND CLOSED AT 2452 POINTS LAST FRIDAY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com: The BDI was almost at same levels and just increased by 8 points and closed at 2452 points , however the cape index was up by al ...
Sunday, 03 October 10
NALCO TO FINALIZE INDONESIA COAL DEAL BY JANUARY - HINDUSTAN TIMES
HindustanTimes reported that, state-owned National Aluminium Company (NALCO) will finalise a deal with a coal source in Indonesia for its $4 billion ...
Sunday, 03 October 10
INDONESIA WILL BECOME A NET IMPORTER OF ENERGY IN 2030 - BPPT
Jakarta Updates reported that,Indonesian Agency for the Assessment and Application of Technology (BPPT) predicted that the energy situation in Indon ...
Saturday, 02 October 10
FOUR INDONESIAN COAL FIRMS KEEN TO TIE UP WITH NALCO - SIFY
Sify reported that, Four Indonesian coal companies have shown interest to tie up with public sector National Aluminium Company (Nalco) for its 4 bil ...
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- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Coal Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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