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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 01 October 10
COAL TRADERS POWER FOREIGN ASSET BUYS - ECONOMIC TIMES
Economic Times reported that, the rush to own coal assets is leading to innovative alliances. are teaming up with utilities like , Reliance Power an ...
Thursday, 30 September 10
LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL MAY BE SOLD BELOW COAL REFERENCE PRICE IN INDONESIA
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world’s largest coal exporter has issued another ministerial decree to regulate the selling price of coal of Indo ...
Thursday, 30 September 10
INITIAL PHASE OF MOATIZE MINING BY EARLY NOVEMBER - ALL AFRICA
All Africa report that, the initial phase of mining coal at Moatize, in the western Mozambican province of Tete, will begin by early November, and t ...
Thursday, 30 September 10
THE PANAMAX CONTINUED ITS DOWNWARD TREND FROM LAST WEEK - FEARNBULK
HANDY
Activity remains slow this week combined with a lack of fresh enquiry and tonnage over-supply in the Atlantic. Indexes are all negative exce ...
Thursday, 30 September 10
INDONESIAN COAL FOR POWER PLANT - LANKA GAZETTE
Lanka Gazette reported that, A cargo vessel with coal on board to generate electricity for the Norochcholai Coal Power Plant will arrive in Sri Lank ...
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The University of Queensland
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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