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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Monday, 31 October 22
U.S. COAL-FIRED GENERATION DECLINING AFTER BRIEF RISE LAST YEAR - EIA
We expect 6% less U.S. coal-fired generation in 2022 than in 2021, according to our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Although coal-fired ge ...
Monday, 31 October 22
CHINA COAL OUTPUT UP 12.3 PCT IN SEPTEMBER - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output posted stable expansion in September, official data showed.
The country produced 390 million tonnes of ...
Wednesday, 26 October 22
BIMCO PUBLISHES UPDATED GENCON CONTRACT
BIMCO has published a revised and updated version GENCON 2022 – one of its flagship contracts within its portfolio of standard contracts for ...
Monday, 24 October 22
KOSPO TO INVITE 400,000 MT OF COAL FOR 3 YEARS
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO) has issued an international tender for 400,000 MT of 3,800 - 4,400kcal/kg NCV and Sulfur Max 0 ...
Wednesday, 19 October 22
ASIA COULD BE A BRIGHT SPOT AMID GLOBAL DOWNTURN NEXT YEAR, ECONOMISTS SAY - CNBC
Asia — especially Southeast Asia — remains a bright spot, even as the global economy looks set to head into recession next year, econom ...
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
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