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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Friday, 18 November 22
REALITIES OF LOI LIABILITIES - BALTIC EXCHANGE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The cargo misdelivery claim in Trafigura Maritime Logistics Pte Ltd v. Clearlake Shipping Pte Ltd (Miracle Hope) [2022] E ...
Tuesday, 15 November 22
CHINA SEES RISING COAL STORAGE AMID SUPPLY PUSH - XINHUA
Coal stockpiles at China’s power plants have seen considerable increases, ensuring energy supply for the winter, the country’s energy r ...
Tuesday, 15 November 22
SEABORNE THERMAL COAL PRICES START TO EASE, BUT PROCESS IS UNEVEN - REUTERS
Prices for seaborne thermal coal have started to drop as fears of a winter energy crunch ease, but the rate of decline has varied across the differ ...
Thursday, 10 November 22
INDIA: THERMAL PLANTS HAVE ADEQUATE COAL STOCKS AT 25.6 MILLION TONNES, SAYS GOVT - IANS
The coal stock with domestic dry fuel-based power plants, as on October 31, was 25.6 million tonnes, the government said, adding that the availabil ...
Tuesday, 08 November 22
OUTLOOK ON CHINA’S WEAKENED BASIC MATERIALS SECTOR CLOUDED BY POLICY SWINGS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings expects basic materials demand in China to improve qoq in 4Q22, driven by seasonally higher construction activity, solid infrastructu ...
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- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Planning Commission, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
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