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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Friday, 04 November 22
CHINA EXPANDS COAL TERM CONTRACTS TO ALL MINES TO STABILIZE MARKET - REUTERS
China has expanded long-term thermal coal supply contracts for 2023 to all coal mines and asked power utilities to source more of their demand thro ...
Thursday, 03 November 22
HANDYSIZE VALUES MOVING UP IN OCTOBER, WHILE LNG VALUES SKYROCKET - VESSELSVALUE
Handysize values have increased this month across most ages, following a period of decline. Values for generic 10 year old Handysizes have moved up ...
Thursday, 03 November 22
EUROPEAN GAS SUPPLY SURPLUS, NOVEMBER HBA DOWN TO US$ 308.2 PER TON - ESDM
European gas supply conditions have a major influence in determining fluctuations in the Reference Coal Price (HBA). The November 2022 HBA recorded ...
Wednesday, 02 November 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Only five weeks before western sanctions’ full effect, uncertainty over energy has markets and governments on the edge. What was initially th ...
Tuesday, 01 November 22
CHINA COAL TRADE DISRUPTED BY COVID OUTBREAKS AS WINTER LOOMS - REUTERS
China’s strict COVID-19 policy is constraining coal supplies and pushing up prices, industry officials and traders say, just weeks before the ...
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
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