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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Wednesday, 07 December 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
China’s coal imports from January to October were 230.1m mt, a decrease of around 10.7% y-o-y (2021 totalled 323.2m mt). The question is if t ...
Wednesday, 07 December 22
INDIA'S STEEL MINISTRY SEEKS IMPORT TAX WAIVER FOR COKING COAL - SOURCES REUTERS REPORTED
India’s steel ministry has asked the finance ministry for a waiver of import tax on coking coal among a slew of raw materials, as it scramble ...
Tuesday, 06 December 22
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION RISES 17% IN APR-NOV PERIOD - PTI
The country’s coal production increased 17 per cent to 524.20 million tonnes in the April-November period of the ongoing fiscal.
...
Tuesday, 06 December 22
INDONESIA AIMS TO STARTS COLLECTING COAL LEVY IN Q1 2023 - MINISTER, REUTERS REPORTED
Indonesia aims to establish a coal fund agency and start collecting a coal levy in the first quarter next year, to help ensure supply security for ...
Saturday, 03 December 22
COMPLEX RUSSIAN PRICE CAP MAKES MARITIME VISIBILITY A MUST - WINDWARD
Many commentators and analysts are speculating about the potential impact the Russian seaborne oil price cap will have on organizations and entitie ...
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Planning Commission, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
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